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NLHE Foundations Course #02: Hand Analysis

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  1. #1
    At the risk of sounding stupid - why do we work out how often villain is folding? For example, I have just been playing around with ranges for a specific villain. I know he folds his steal to a 3b 88% of the time. I managed to work out villain's range to match this number.

    For context;

    Villain is 18/16 w/ 8% 3B. ATS is 30% from LP, he folds his steal to a 3B 88% of the time.

    I worked villain's range out to be the following;

    Stealing range; 22-AA(78), Axs(48), Axo/s(192), KTo+(48)

    QTo+(32), JTo(16), KTs+(12), QTs+(8), JTs(4), T9s(4), 98s(4), 87s(4), T9o(16)

    = 466

    Folding Range - 22-99(48), A2s-AJs(40), A2o-AJo(160), KTo+(48), QTo+(32), JTo(16)

    KTs-KQs(12), QTs-QJs(8), JTs(4), T9s(4), 98s(4), 87s(4), T9o(16), 98o(16)

    412/466 = 88%

    Now how do I apply this? Why have I gone through the effort of working out villain's range?
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  2. #2
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cobra_1878 View Post
    At the risk of sounding stupid - why do we work out how often villain is folding? For example, I have just been playing around with ranges for a specific villain. I know he folds his steal to a 3b 88% of the time. I managed to work out villain's range to match this number.

    For context;

    Villain is 18/16 w/ 8% 3B. ATS is 30% from LP, he folds his steal to a 3B 88% of the time.

    I worked villain's range out to be the following;

    Stealing range; 22-AA(78), Axs(48), Axo/s(192), KTo+(48)

    QTo+(32), JTo(16), KTs+(12), QTs+(8), JTs(4), T9s(4), 98s(4), 87s(4), T9o(16)

    = 466

    Folding Range - 22-99(48), A2s-AJs(40), A2o-AJo(160), KTo+(48), QTo+(32), JTo(16)

    KTs-KQs(12), QTs-QJs(8), JTs(4), T9s(4), 98s(4), 87s(4), T9o(16), 98o(16)

    412/466 = 88%

    Now how do I apply this? Why have I gone through the effort of working out villain's range?
    It's important to know how often your opponent is folding because this gives you information on how to bluff against him and how to structure your range in general. If you know how often he's folding, you know whether you can bluff profitably with the shortcuts I've given.

    Also for the sake of this course, breaking down the ranges like this is also helping us because I'm teaching you how to train yourself to understand ranges on a more intuitive level. This takes a lot of practice, but instead of just doing endless mind-numbing practice for the sake of practice, we're targeting specific lessons with it (in this case, profitable bluffing).

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