NLHE Foundations Course #02: Hand Analysis

***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Poker Stars)
€10.00 EUR NL Texas Hold'em - Sunday, August 30, 08:28:29 ET 2015
Table Lederle (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( €10.14 EUR ) - VPIP: 26, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 5.0, Hands: 23
Seat 2: Player2 ( €9.85 EUR ) - VPIP: 10, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 0.3, Hands: 100
Seat 4: Player4 ( €10.00 EUR ) - VPIP: 48, PFR: 40, 3B: 28, AF: 3.8, Hands: 163
Seat 5: Player5 ( €10.84 EUR ) - VPIP: 50, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 24
Seat 6: Hero ( €25.55 EUR ) - VPIP: 28, PFR: 23, 3B: 8, AF: 2.4, Hands: 2442
Player1 posts small blind [€0.05 EUR].
Player2 posts big blind [€0.10 EUR].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 6d Kc ]
Player4 folds
Player5 folds
Hero raises [€0.20 EUR]
Player1 folds
Player2 calls [€0.10 EUR]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4h, Qs, 9h ]
Player2 checks
Hero bets [€0.21 EUR]
Player2 calls [€0.21 EUR]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Ks ]
Player2 checks
Hero bets [€0.41 EUR]
Player2 calls [€0.41 EUR]
** Dealing River ** [ Js ]
Player2 checks
Hero checks
Player2 shows [Qd, Ah ]
Hero shows [6d, Kc ]
Hero wins €1.61 EUR from main pot

{Edit by spoonitnow for converted HH since he can't post it yet due to post count}

Poker Stars No-Limit Hold'em, €0.10 BB (5 handed) - Poker Stars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

SB (€10.14)
BB (€9.85)
UTG (€10)
MP (€10.84)
Hero (Button) (€25.55)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 6, K
2 folds, Hero raises €0.20, 1 fold, BB calls €0.10

Flop: (€0.45) 4, Q, 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets €0.21, BB calls €0.21

Turn: (€0.87) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets €0.41, BB calls €0.41

River: (€1.69) J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Total pot: €1.69

Results below:

Spoiler: Show

Hero had 6, K (one pair, Kings).
BB had Q, A (one pair, Queens).
Outcome: Hero won €1.61

i think villain seem nits and his cold call range on big blind like this:AQ-AJ(32),KQ(3*4=12),77->TT(24),T9s,QJs,ATs(12),KJs(3)
-> total :83 combo
on flop 4h, Qs, 9h he will continew with this range(I) :77-TT(24),T9s,QJs,KJs(4+4+3=11),KQ(12),AQ(16), AhTh(1)
-> 64 combo
-> his fold frequency : 19/83=24%

with this bet size of hero on flop need 21/66=32% oppoent fold to make this move is profitable
24<32-> this bluff cbet here is not good

If we think this opponent fold his bottaim pairs+ gutshot his range continew like this:99-TT(12),T9s,QJs(8),KQ(12),KhJh,AhTh(2),AQ(16)
total: 50combo-> his fold frequency on this case(II): 33/83=39,7% and we need only 32% fold frequency wiht betsize on flop-> with case(II) is a profitable move bluff on flop