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  1. #29
    daviddem's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by spoonitnow View Post
    Another common example is when we 5-bet pre-flop with a low pocket pair, wanting people to fold overs.
    It would have been much smarter to start the thread with such an example, it would have avoided a lot of the "this is unrealistic bullshit" responses.

    So here is one, in a heads up context, with 100bb stacks:

    Villain (SB & BTN): AK (equity 43.65%)
    Hero (BB): QQ (equity 56.35%)

    Villain raises to 3bb, Hero raises to 10bb, Villain raises to 30bb, Hero raises to 100bb (all in)

    Villain's pot odds: 35%

    Hero's EV if villain (correctly) calls: 0.5635*200bb=112.7bb
    Hero's EV if villain folds (he makes a mistake): 130bb

    So even though Hero bets with the best hand, a fold from villain is a better outcome for him.
    Last edited by daviddem; 12-07-2010 at 06:41 AM.
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