Varchertine's Werewolf Game Thread

[OngBonga]

im not sure why this is so controversial

It's controversial because it's really convenient for the wolves if their villager buddies are unwilling to name them as serious wolf suspects.

[wufwugy]

It's controversial because it's really convenient for the wolves if their villager buddies are unwilling to name them as serious wolf suspects.

that's not the controversy. the controversy is you guys refusing to acknowledge basic statistics

[MadMojoMonkey]

that's not the controversy. the controversy is you guys refusing to acknowledge basic statistics

Your statistics assume the final 4 are random variables about which there is no background information.

Your assumptions are flawed, and your results are erroneous.

Now drop this hand-waving charade of distracting from hunting, and start hunting.
All this talk is not helping the village find any wolves or even other villagers.

Stop turning the conversation to mundane topics about which wolves can speak honestly.

[wufwugy]

Your statistics assume the final 4 are random variables about which there is no background information.

the statistics assume a standard amount of information, which is the standard thing to assume

keep in mind i have not suggested people play a certain way. i have merely stated facts that everybody should agree with: villagers will be very unlikely to bold their partners since the probability of catching a wolf when doing so dramatically drops, and that since every lynch is automatically for two specific players, it necessarily means we should know who those two players are. a bold for one player is no less a bold for that player's link. we should be lynching the links of players that we think provide the most value, not the individuals while crossing our fingers that his link is also a good death

Now drop this hand-waving charade of distracting from hunting, and start hunting.
All this talk is not helping the village find any wolves or even other villagers.

says the guy who would prefer that half the deaths are unknowns

as long as the best info we have is about half of each chosen lynch, the best kind of bold you're going to get out of me is a simplistic one. besides, this is d1 and you know for a fact i have said many times that i dont think killing wolves d1 helps the village. i think it's when you get rid of people who are either playing weirdly or are shitty for the endgame. my bold is in a great spot, yours is on the person trying to create clarity