Idea - Hand-Reading Homework

[seven-deuce]

Villain ($20.54) 205bb - VPIP:14, PFR:12, 3B:5, AF:1.6, cBet:49

Judging from this guy's stats he seems like the typical tight multi-tabling regs that have some idea of what they are doing.

For his preflop iso'ing range i think it would look something like this;

{ 22+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,AJo+,KQo }

After villain checks the flop on that board i'm going to remove all overpairs as i can't imagine he'd check them here in a 3-way pot with flush and straight-draws out there.

So his range on the flop is;

{ TcTh,TcTs,ThTs,9c9h,9d9h,9h9s,8d8s,6d6s,ATs }

Just noticing how strong this range is, it's basically sets and TPTK with a pair and a gutshot. I don't think his checking range is likely to ever be this strong in a 3-way pot with a lot of draws on board. That would mean his betting range is 4 combos of sets and JJ+, and his check-folding range would be all missed PP's and broadways. Except for AQhh with the FD. Which i'll include in the c/c range here.


So his turn range is basically the exact same except he probably folds 99 so his turn range is;

{ TcTh,TcTs,ThTs,8d8s,6d6s,AhQh,ATs }

And his river jamming range is;

{ TcTh,TcTs,ThTs,AhQh,AhTh }

If i calculated correctly your playing 8.89 effective stacks on the river, so he shoves 8.89.

So 8.89/24.93 = 0.3565 let's say 37% equity. With my range you have 60%.

[MadMojoMonkey]

For his preflop iso'ing range i think it would look something like this;

{ 22+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,AJo+,KQo }

That's 11.6%... rounds to 12% in 2 digits, so...

how can the overall PFR be 12% unless Villain is dramatically NOT PFR-ing from some position.

New task:
Fill in ranges for 6-handed play that average out to 12%.
1) give a UTG PFR range, and associated %-age
2) do this for Villain's range at each position
3) take the average of %-ages
4) if your average isn't 12%, adjust something and re-check