|
Continuation Betting Revisited
The purpose of this post is to ease some of you guys into doing some analysis on your own. I'm going to use an example of looking at a continuation bet since I figure that topic will attract you guys.
Suppose with 100bb stacks we open {AJ+, KQ, 66+} from some EP/MP position to 4x, a ~14/12 in FR or ~20/16 in 6-max calls us in LP, and everyone else folds. The flop comes A 9 7 . Here are some things to ask yourself:
1. What hands are you c-betting?
2. How much are you c-betting?
3. What hands are you folding to a raise?
I asked a low stakes player this, and this is what he had to say:
1. AJ+, KsQs, 99+, 77
2. 7 big blinds (into a pot of 9 big blinds after the rake)
3. QQ w/o Qs, JJ, TT, AJ w/o backdoor flush draw
With these answers, we can do a little analysis by breaking our range up into sub-ranges based on the line we're taking, which I do here along with how each hand and sub-range is weighted in terms of possible hand combinations:
Bet: AK(12), AQ(12), AJ(12), KsQs(1), 77(3), 99(3), TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(6), KK(6), 67 total
Check/fold: KQ(15), 66(6), 88(6), 27 total
Bet/fold: TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(3), AJ(8), 23 total
What do we think about this?
|