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Re: Continuation Betting Revisited
 Originally Posted by spoonitnow
The purpose of this post is to ease some of you guys into doing some analysis on your own. I' m going to use an example of looking at a continuation bet since I figure that topic will attract you guys.
Suppose with 100bb stacks we open {AJ+, KQ, 66+} from some EP/ MP position to 4x, a ~14/12 in FR or ~20/16 in 6-max calls us in LP, and everyone else folds. The flop comes A  9  7  . Here are some things to ask yourself:
1. What hands are you c-betting? I'm cbetting AJ+ all KQ, 66-TT - everything except c/calling KK,QQ,JJ at least once
2. How much are you c-betting? 1/2 to almost full pot, depending on my hand and opponents tendancies
3. What hands are you folding to a raise? Folding air, and small pairs, calling AJ+ w/no flush draw, raising AJ+w/ flush draw, call, raise or fold KQs, depending on villian, raise sets
I asked a low stakes player this, and this is what he had to say:
1. AJ+, KsQs, 99+, 77
2. 7 big blinds (into a pot of 9 big blinds after the rake)
3. QQ w/o Qs, JJ, TT, AJ w/o backdoor flush draw
With these answers, we can do a little analysis by breaking our range up into sub-ranges based on the line we're taking, which I do here along with how each hand and sub- range is weighted in terms of possible hand combinations:
Bet: AK(12), AQ(12), AJ(12), KsQs(1), 77(3), 99(3), TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(6), KK(6), 67 total
Check/ fold: KQ(15), 66(6), 88(6), 27 total
Bet/ fold: TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(3), AJ(8), 23 total
What do we think about this?
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