Sep 2015 Werewolf - Game thread

[Luco]

.

[OngBonga]

How so?

Do you think I'm right that rascal is 100% wolf?

[SuperMonkeyFace]

Lynch kami

Pg 12 is just awful

[Hoopy]

It wouldn't be fishy if he was agreeing with me, but he doesn't like the lynch. So... he's prepared to lynch a claimed seer that he thinks might be true over his own sorry vanilla butt?

As I said before I don't think lynching rascal is good today, but he's probably still a wolf 80% of the time. Even if he is the seer the roleblock is very limiting.

[Hoopy]

Do you think I'm right that rascal is 100% wolf?

Not 100%, but 80-90%. The thing you pointed out about him not men.tioning the roleblock is further evidence against his claim.

[OngBonga]

I'd still much rather see rascal die today.

I can't believe he's seer who didn't realise how bad a d1 claim would be.

[OngBonga]

hoopy lynch clearly isn't terrible, he claims special by now. It's him or rascal, anything else is too risky.

[SuperMonkeyFace]

/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
|| VOTE COUNT ||
\/\/\/\/\/\/\/

player (votes) || who's voting for them

Hoopy (5) || baudib, Cory, Gator, Kami, ship

Gator (2) || Evene, Hoopy
rascal (2) || ong, rilla

baudib (1) || gabe
JKDS (1) || SMF
Kami (1) || rascal
ong (1) || wuf
rilla (1) || JKDS
wuf (1) || BID

no vote (0) ||

8 to lynch. Please notify me if you spot an error in the VC.

Day 1 ends in ~1 hour.

Spoiler: Show

someone will die

rescind Gator

lynch rascal

Don't like it but since I know I'm a villager this seems like the best play right now.

Lynch kami

Pg 12 is just awful

Current

Rascal at 3 now though

Kami won't get lynched but I just had to express how bad that posting was. She can't be for real.

I'll go with my town reads n lynch hoopy. But the thought of rascals claim is giving me issues

Lynch hoopy

[OngBonga]

I would say that a lack of vanilla claim is cause for optimism. It feels like he was maybe trying to keep open the door I just slammed.

idk, I can't see anyone else getting lynched now so I guess I'll find out soon enough.

rascal is a wolf whatever hoopy flips.

[SuperMonkeyFace]

I'll try n check back in once more before EOD - 40 mins.

Could vote either top 2. Just need to think

[Cory]

I'm here to switch but fine with my vote

glgl

[OngBonga]

We should lynch rascal.

I'm drawing bad conclusions here about how specials would've claimed by now, but there's a fucking roleblocker. Specials won't claim even if they're close to fucked. A change of direction can always happen.

hoopy is more likely to be the fucking seer than rascal is.

[OngBonga]

half an hour to grow some pubes.

[Hoopy]

I'm here to switch but fine with my vote

glgl

Take a look baudib's gang when I'm gone, particularly the bamboo muncher.

[Cory]

who are your top 3 villagers / wolves hoopster

[Hoopy]

I'm not a special, so at least there's that.

We should still be going for rascal since he has a high chance of being a wolf, where as I know I'm a villager.

[Hoopy]

Obviously last post is WIFOM (think I'm right using that), but I still have to play the best way for the village which is not letting myself die.

[OngBonga]

hoopy isn't very convincing here.

I'm still a lot more confident rascal is a wolf, but this is the next best lynch now.

[OngBonga]

hoopy tease us

gives us an arooo

[Hoopy]

hoopy tease us

gives us an arooo

Sorry Ong I'm just vanilla.

[OngBonga]

Sadly I believe you.

[OngBonga]

aroo anyway

[Luco]

Day is over. no more posting.

[Luco]

Hoopy was lynched!

He was a...

[Luco]

...

...Wolf!

The living:
Ongbonga
JKDS
BID (Bankitdrew)
Gabe
Wufwugy
Gator
Baudib
Rascal (lilrascal)
Kami
Shipitup
Evene
Rilla (a500lbgorilla)
Supermonkeyface
Cory

Living roles:
9 vanilla villagers
1 Seer
1 Angel
1 Vigilante
1 roleblocker
1 tailor

The dead:
Hoopy, Vanilla wolf, lynched D1



IT IS NIGHT! Thread is closed.

Night 1 will last 24 hours. Specials, PM me your night actions etc etc

[Luco]

The living:
Ongbonga
JKDS
BID (Bankitdrew)
Gabe
Wufwugy
Baudib
Rascal (lilrascal)
Kami
Shipitup
Rilla (a500lbgorilla)
Supermonkeyface
Cory

Living roles:
8 vanilla villagers
1 Seer
1 Angel
1 Vigilante
1 tailor

The dead:
Hoopy, Vanilla wolf, lynched D1
Evene, Roleblocker, Shot N1
Gator, vanilla villager, killed N1


IT IS DAY!

48 hours till night. With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch. you may post

[Cory]

God I am so fucking good at this game

[Cory]

Is everyone ready for some



??

[a500lbgorilla]

Didn't really expect that.

[baudib]

Was gonna say Hoopy Rule of 3'ed the shit out of Evene. GJ Hoopy.

[Cory]

So for everyone that's all about "well as a villager I use whatever and after like d3 I make good reads or whatever" i have some bad news for you

There is not going to be a day 3 this game

We end this today

[baudib]

Lynch Gabe

[Cory]

Was gonna say Hoopy Rule of 3'ed the shit out of Evene. GJ Hoopy.

I still don't understand why you kept insisting Evene was likely to be a villager for her one spurt of catch-up posting but I'm chalking it up to lolbaudib

I'm going to reread and find the last wolf, I hope you do the same

[baudib]

I still don't understand why you kept insisting Evene was likely to be a villager for her one spurt of catch-up posting but I'm chalking it up to lolbaudib

I'm going to reread and find the last wolf, I hope you do the same

I said she was well within her wolf range and easier to read on D2.

what are you on about? I led the lynch the wolf foo.

[Cory]

I said she was well within her wolf range and easier to read on D2.

what are you on about? I led the lynch the wolf foo.

I think we all just coalesced onto Hoopy for being a slanker more than anything

I still think that wagon is very likely ~all villagers, but nobody lead that lynch

Prob some weird POG #Alliance type deal

I just remember you being very insistent you believed Evene was a villager for reasons I did not understand

I'll check it out when I read over

[Cory]

Props to Gator who really did ramp up and figure shit out after a start I thought was questionable

You'll get your W buddy

[baudib]

I think we all just coalesced onto Hoopy for being a slanker more than anything

I still think that wagon is very likely ~all villagers, but nobody lead that lynch

Prob some weird POG #Alliance type deal

I just remember you being very insistent you believed Evene was a villager for reasons I did not understand

I'll check it out when I read over

Hoopy was on precisely zero votes with very very likely V-V wagons in Rascal/Kami when I pointed out his terrible vote on Kami for even more terrible reasons.

[Cory]

Okay baudib whatever you say bruv

[baudib]

Where do I keep insisting Evene is a villager?

OK, 5 posts, 5 pages, let's go.

pg 1. Cory has a villagery entrance. Bauddib seems engaged



This is a wolfy post. Lame excuse that makes no sense. The tailor/traitor argument didn't really make much sense to me either. Maybe why I find this response wo wolfy, because it should just be 'lolwut'

Are you a Dune fane? I like that you put the extra 'd' in there.

You used these exact words about me in a recent game when you were a wolf.

Evene's little burst of posting is decent and I roughly agree with most of her posts but it's well within her wolf range.

I'm also reserving judgment on Evene.

she's like definitely within the bounds of her wolf range even though her burst of posting indicates she's reading and forming opinions.

But I love the way she attacks the game as a villager, with cold logic without being irrational or emotional.

it looks like those are qualities we will need in this game.

I may be hoping Evene is a villager because she's probably the only sane person in this game besides me.

JKDS and Evene are interesting. They're both very similar in that they're very capable players, both been under the radar a bit. I don't know if this post restriction isa factor for Evene or not.

I kinda like Evene's posts. Nothing that would be overly difficult to say as a wolf but thoughtful. I wouldn't lynch her.

JKDS is less impressive than I thought. I don't like his push on SMF, although I grow considerably less comfortable with him the longer he stays AFK.

[OngBonga]

Sweet.

Seer counterclaim wins this, so rascal surely concedes if he's the wolf.

Hurry up and post rascal.

[baudib]

Didn't really expect that.

is this a lolcat?

[gabe]

im really hoping day 2 goes for 20 pages. we can do this

[a500lbgorilla]

Nah

[Cory]

JKDS and Evene are interesting. They're both very similar in that they're very capable players, both been under the radar a bit. I don't know if this post restriction isa factor for Evene or not.

I kinda like Evene's posts. Nothing that would be overly difficult to say as a wolf but thoughtful. I wouldn't lynch her.

JKDS is less impressive than I thought. I don't like his push on SMF, although I grow considerably less comfortable with him the longer he stays AFK.

also it's not one post.

do you think you have any villagery posts this game, Rilla? I'm surprised you actually have like 30 of them. I think Evene and JKDS have had more impact.

Evene

I think Evene is a villager, but confidence is low.

Like, I can't see how I would lynch Evene over JKDS when they're essentially the same at this point, except Evene has superior content, pending possibly incoming #hottakes from JKDS.

I like JKDS' content more

Posting a bunch of soft stool in catchup mode and ducking anything real time is never "villagery"

She's at best rand, I have no idea why you have her as a villager

I don't see how. His whole thing with SMF is kinda AIDS.

I'm not trying to lunch AIDS, I'm trying to lunch wolves ffs

It was more that you thought Evene's posting was villagery for some reason

I think you just hit buttons a lot

[OngBonga]

I still think rascal is the wolf. I mean why didn't hoopy fakeclaim? Because they already had an outed wolf.

That said, if rascal doesn't concede and noone counterclaims, well obviously I'm wrong.

[baudib]

Lynch Gabe and shoot Rilla, game is over like all the time.

I'm pretty sure everyone else is a villager.

Doesn't make any sense for a wolf to bus Hoopy there, the only person I thought could have remotely bussed was Gator.

All the votes on Hoopy came after 6 p.m. Thursday when the wagons were 4-3 or 3-3 Racal-Kami.

[OngBonga]

Is it bad that I hope that rascal is the seer so this game isn't over already?

[Cory]

Ship could have bussed as a wolf there fwiw

Doubt he did but you can't clear him for that

[baudib]

Ship could have bussed as a wolf there fwiw

Doubt he did but you can't clear him for that

Nah he gave Hoopy 3 votes, also he called out Hoopy as a wolf (although he didn't really give a reason) the day before when he was getting no attention.

[Cory]

Actually nevermind he probably didn't

[Cory]

Nah he gave Hoopy 3 votes, also he called out Hoopy as a wolf (although he didn't really give a reason) the day before when he was getting no attention.

This is irrelevant, SIU hardbusses all the time, I've seen him singlehandedly lunch wolfbros with village trying to lynch villagers as a wolf more than once, it's a part of his wolf playstyle

There's a different reason why SIU wasn't bussing there

[baudib]

oh btw LOLWILVES

I know who the village specials are, Gator was obviously vanilla, come on.

[baudib]

This is irrelevant, SIU hardbusses all the time, I've seen him singlehandedly lunch wolfbros with village trying to lynch villagers as a wolf more than once, it's a part of his wolf playstyle

There's a different reason why SIU wasn't bussing there

I mean he's a villager because Gabe is always a wolf, ok?

[Cory]

Just to irk baudib I am allocating all of the villager cred on the Hoopy lynch to Kami

Kami gets to be double lack claire, nobody else gets any cred glgl

[Cory]

I mean he's a villager because Gabe is always a wolf, ok?

Okay before you say this I want you to answer these questions impartially

A) is this a real read on Gabe or are you just pushing buttons?

B) is there any reason your read of Gabe should be held in confidence? do you typically read him at a high clip?

C) weighing away your OWN bias, what is your % of confidence on the read?

[gabe]

ong, its starting to make sense that rascal is the seer

baud... move along. no wolf here

[Cory]

Considering there is one wolf left and it is the TAILOR i would wager the seer is useless anyway

I have rascal 100% polarized to seer/wolf and would guess he's the seer, but if not he should be counterclaimed and lunched

Otherwise he's basically just a Named villager

[baudib]

I mean I'm exaggerating but it's always Gabe/Rilla.

Gabe and Rilla are the natural village leaders/wolf hunters and they're not doing any leading or hunting.

Both of them have super sketchy interactions with Hoopy.

Gabe makes non-consensus, tough reads for arcane reasons as a villager and is great at it. He's not doing that at all.

[baudib]

Most of the reasons Rilla could be a villager revolve around him playing this way because he's the seer and not Rascal.

Him dropping in the middle of the night to vote Rascal as the Hoopy wagon was starting to take off was super bad.

Also, his reasons for lynching Kami were almost as bad as Hoopy's.

[Cory]

We should ALL be voting for two players today. One to lynch, one to be vigged. Wolves can't stop or mess with the vig while he is alive, and the WORST thing that can happen

I would say like last ~15 hours to deadline if you're one of the BOTTOM TWO people you need to claim if you are one of the PRs. The absolute WORST thing that can happen is for the vig to hit a PR. With rascal probably the seer that really just means the vig shooting the angel, but we can avoid that happening 100% without a problem.

Otherwise be close-mouthed about your role as per usual standards

[wufwugy]

great shot vig. good job on hoopy lynch gents

i (hi bid) was gonna bold the hoopman when the thread reopened and i (hi bid) got back, but the gameday be ovah.

the contrast with the new rapid fire posters probably gave hoopy more incentive to play an even wolfier "sit and watch, comment in ways that don't matter" game than he usually does as a wolf. evene looks to have succumbed to the treacherous mission of playing wolf in unfamiliar circumstances, and thus also doing too much “sit and watch, comment in ways that don't matter” thing.

[gabe]

I mean I'm exaggerating but it's always Gabe/Rilla.

Gabe and Rilla are the natural village leaders/wolf hunters and they're not doing any leading or hunting.

Both of them have super sketchy interactions with Hoopy.

Gabe makes non-consensus, tough reads for arcane reasons as a villager and is great at it. He's not doing that at all.

i had hoopy and evene in my 2nd shortest wolf list. if you knew that i was a village, you wold not say the last part

[Cory]

I am just going to try and do it the easy way and find 6 other villagers which should basically triple-lock the game and I don't think it's going to be excessively difficult

I would be embarrassed if we couldn't PoE this down to ~5 players correctly today and with a vig we have additional KP the wolves can't even match so we don't need to even factor "mislynch" amount

[gabe]

baud you are wrong. i think it would be suicide to say what youre saying as a wolf though, so you got that going for you

[Cory]

JKDS and Evene are interesting. They're both very similar in that they're very capable players, both been under the radar a bit. I don't know if this post restriction isa factor for Evene or not.

I kinda like Evene's posts. Nothing that would be overly difficult to say as a wolf but thoughtful. I wouldn't lynch her.

JKDS is less impressive than I thought. I don't like his push on SMF, although I grow considerably less comfortable with him the longer he stays AFK.

also it's not one post.

do you think you have any villagery posts this game, Rilla? I'm surprised you actually have like 30 of them. I think Evene and JKDS have had more impact.

Evene

I think Evene is a villager, but confidence is low.

Like, I can't see how I would lynch Evene over JKDS when they're essentially the same at this point, except Evene has superior content, pending possibly incoming #hottakes from JKDS.

I like JKDS' content more

Posting a bunch of soft stool in catchup mode and ducking anything real time is never "villagery"

She's at best rand, I have no idea why you have her as a villager

I don't see how. His whole thing with SMF is kinda AIDS.

I'm not trying to lunch AIDS, I'm trying to lunch wolves ffs

Do you think I'm right that rascal is 100% wolf?

great shot vig. good job on hoopy lynch gents

i (hi bid) was gonna bold the hoopman when the thread reopened and i (hi bid) got back, but the gameday be ovah.

the contrast with the new rapid fire posters probably gave hoopy more incentive to play an even wolfier "sit and watch, comment in ways that don't matter" game than he usually does as a wolf. evene looks to have succumbed to the treacherous mission of playing wolf in unfamiliar circumstances, and thus also doing too much “sit and watch, comment in ways that don't matter” thing.

who's the last wolf iyo

[baudib]

So if Rilla doesn't CC maybe we should lynch him instead, but I'd rather lynch Gabe because I think Rilla is more likely to trololol as a villager than Gabe.

but yeah shoot Rilla if that doesn't work.

If the game is somehow still going, I'll be playing poker the rest of the week and probably nommed so glgl.

[Cory]

Fuck you, saved quotes

[a500lbgorilla]

well we did it

we have a day 1 on FTR with 11+ pages

its overwhelming

i'd lynch evene or baudib or gator

edit: sorry i didnt get to the end. ill stop now

i never said he was in contention to be voted for. ive been on you the whole time. i didnt eliminate evene because i dont have much of an impression so far. i have no village lean for evene like i do for a lot of posters

gabe?

[wufwugy]

Props to Gator who really did ramp up and figure shit out after a start I thought was questionable

this is half of why gator is considered such a good player. he said he doesnt think he's as good a villager as we say (mostly it's what i say), but he's wrong. what he is not good at is staying alive, but he is fantastic at making the right clutch decision, which as a villager means finding the wolf. he may be the best ive seen at that.

[gabe]

wufwugy - villager (hie hoopman post blew this thing wide open)
cory - villager
gator - strong likely villager

[gabe]

gabe?

i made a list of 5 possible wolves that included hoopy and evene. what are you asking me

[a500lbgorilla]

i had hoopy and evene in my 2nd shortest wolf list. if you knew that i was a village, you wold not say the last part

See my previous post. The second quote is about hoopy, btw.

[OngBonga]

There's jkds drew kami ship and monkey who are yet to post, everyone else is obviously not the seer.

[a500lbgorilla]

i made a list of 5 possible wolves that included hoopy and evene. what are you asking me

You said Hoopy was not in contention to be lynched when Baudib asked how you eliminated him, that reads as - "I don't think Hoopy is a wolf." What is it supposed to mean now?

[OngBonga]

gator - strong likely villager

I agree. Solid read.