Varchertine's Werewolf Game Thread

[wufwugy]

okay this turned out to be a huge ass post, so bear with





now that we have two deaths under our belt, we can actually do stuff. initial review of wagonomics shows me getting to 4 within the first couple of posts and not getting any lower until i rammed everybody's head against the wall. it was only after i demonstrated that i had been at 5 votes for the whole day and nobody else had been higher than 2 and most votes were either spread out in 1 or absent. even mmm had to drop off my wagon after that.

then near the eod it went to boog rapidly then just as rapid a drop off and onto gabe and baud. but then boog resurged. very eod had gabe edging out boog

i am obviously the most lynchbaity player in this game. merely minutes into it and i had 4 votes. count it, fucking 4. it took me raising hell to get below 4. i was accused of not hunting or playing my normal village game, but im left here baffled that anybody would think that since i never hunt d1. i goof around or bold based on intuition or policy. i do wagonomics and deep game reads. d1 has not been a hunting day for me for like two whole years. the wolves are those who pretend they dont know this.

enter rilla. he has made it a point to muddy the waters and tell everybody im acting differently. sometimes im left wondering if anybody even reads anythign i say. i tend to think i can read rilla well, so i thought little of it at first. but then he kept doing it. bolded me then debolded then bolded again. and he's back to it today. i have made it emphatically clear that my schedule is a specific time and that i am busy, yet yesterday, at a time when i am never on, he says "derp wuf is so suspiciously absent". ofc i am i usually dont get home until 3-5PST and even when i do im fucking spent because im a stupid person trying to major in math. it's funny how i keep telling a guy in my class how good he is at math and he keeps denying it, but he picks things up at least twice as fast as i do. this is literally the last thing i should be studying, which is why im doing it.

my d1 wagon was clearly a bullshit wagon without any counters. i think at least one player is among the first four bolds, most likely mmm. but apparently nobody even knows mmm is playing, as ive been the only bold on him all game. the other thing that stands out in the wagonomics is that once it became about baud and gabe, things got crazy. it could be about boog, but he's also major lynchbait. the dude gets early lynched in half the games he plays. it's reasonable since he always seems so wolfy, but the fact is that after i posted the huge discrepancy between my wagon and any others, everything jumped to boog. he and i are among the easiest lynchbait and the wagons got heavy almost instantly. looks more like wolves taking the easy road (as well as some villagers) more than bolding for rationale. if boog is a wolf, it would mean that my wagon probably wouldnt have lost the steam the way it did. i was such an easy lynch. this doesnt clear boog by any stretch of the imagination. hell he is one of my wolf picks for the simple fact that he was on my wagon so easily. but the ease of his wagon suggests he is just a railroaded villager. at least for now

which brings us to baud. well, and gabe but we know he's a villager now. it was when baud's wagon started getting steam that things got crazy. at the time i thought his defenses were better than gabe's, as he seemed much more natural baud. but he wasnt always. he opened the game claiming he didnt care much and wasnt going to do much. then suddenly when his neck nears the guillotine, he has epiphanies about how people not named baud are wolves. rilla too. once baud was under pressure, they both made a show of getting on gabe and they flopped around too. both of them adored lynching any of me gabe or boog. and today they're both on me.

baud and rilla are voting as a block. funny how they've basically cleared each other. more like they're both wolves. mmm is the third. it's in the wagonomics. here's the step by step of it

im in the lead and bid bolds boog

Wuf looks like the most villagery person in this game. So for that reason, I'm voting for:

lynch boog

FWIW, I feel like MMM and wuf are showing resentment today. I'm strongly considering wolves to be on his wagon. Boog is actually at the top of that list based solely on instincts.

then I make the wagonomics post that demonstrates what ive been saying the whole time, and shortly after baud gets on boog

lynch Boog

teh hoopman on boog. tell me it isnt so

Well I'm obviously not lynching wuf without a super strong read that he's a wolf, which I don't have.

lynch BooG

lol jesus christ talk about lynchbait. granted rong aint a wolf

Rescind

Lynch boog

I'm not over the moon with his lynch but not overly against it either and I think it's better than wuf.

I'd prob switch to Luco easy enough.

oh nifty so baud didnt think boog was a wolf then?

lynch keybored

lolwat? boog wagon almost launching as quickly as mine did

This is kinda painful because I think he's a solid player and gets way too much heat in early game when he shouldn't.

That said...

lynch boog

His aggression feels forced to me.

boog defends himself and then ong switches

lynch gabe

something something baud baud

I'm suddenly not feeling my W read on boog so much.

I don't love my vote on wuf. I like it some, but not nearly as much as my vote on ong last game.
Both ong and wuf pride themselves on their ability to talk their way out of lynch.

I *sigh* believe that the fear wuf revealed late yesterday was authentic, and it explains his frantic insistence on trying to bully everyone into revealing as self-preservation (not V-cred in itself, but it makes that ridiculous push of his make sense from a V perspective).

rescind wuf

lynch baudib

or ronk (maybe luco)

boog on baud

I can lynch baudib. I want to make it clear that my intentions here are rilla.

oh hey what's this three switches

I'm definitely down to switch to Gabe.

lynch Gabe

nutlow villaging or topform wolfing. notice that keybored has been on my case since second uno. i dont even think he has bolded anybody. just me over and over. all with shit reason.

So...Luco playfully pokes Ronk:


I make a long reach into a possible Wuf-Rong collaboration:


Rong claims fat finger/autocorrect:


But in these two earlier posts, Rong first uses LUNCH in reference to WUF (originator of the term). And then does it two more times. I'm not buying the fat-finger defense and autocorrect won't affect this. I'm now convinced there's a Rong-Wuf collaboration. And cuz I know Wuf's partner, it ain't happening in the private chat. After this game, the W-den will confirm.



And cuz I don't know Rong's partner and cuz I get wolfy vibes off Wuf and cuz Hoopy (wuf's mate) has been dead weight to the village, my decision is made:

LYNCH WUF & his mini me.

not happy about this. boog engaging in some similar behavior as baud

Early game is interesting. There were four bolds to lynch Wuf within 13 posts. Two bolds to lynch Ong within 15, though rong's is a joke. Ong wagon for the lazy:




I completely missed this interaction. gabe's logic this entire game has been non-existent.

Rescind baudib, lynch gabe.

oh heeeey look who decided to show up

I'm way less high on either boog or keybored.

lynch gabe

and here we go, a known villager getting on baud

Rescind

Lynch baudib

self preservation and/or reads. looks to me like reads and we'll be owing gabe and apology. cant say im a fan of the idea that gabe could retain his old glory as considered such a great player. ofc if he deserves it he deserves it

I don't really see how I slipped

My first post in the thread is what I was thinking at the time

Call it terrible or whatever but it was a real post

rescind and lynch baudib
Because he's the most likely wolf...

His posting style is different, he's trying to talk about his great reads on monstr n rascal (last time he told me he had a good read on monstr, they were both wolves), and finally him saying my tactic was terrible seems overly forceful, which might be the wolfiest bit of evidence

Also I think it was baudib that suggested ong is strong enough to be kept around, which I don't think is true in this line up. Everyone is solid

lol scratch that. all self preservation from gabe apparently

rescind and lynch boog

people loving rilla too much to kill baudib today. but baudib is not making it to the end of the game

im sticking with the original boog reads. and its a pair (boog/monstr) that doesnt include me

more self preservation

And may as well follow his lead Rescind

Lynch boog

next three are telling

wufwugy-hoopy as a pair have been pretty empty this game.

lynch wuf

Off to bed.

Fuck it

lynch wufwugy

i thought everbody knew i was fucking gone. such opportunism. baud is in the clear and rilla wants to get back on me, laying all the groundwork he can. he's knows he cant nom me and he knows how strong i am as a villager. yes i get everything wrong, but that's only before i get it right. rilla absolutely knows the danger i pose, to him specifically since im never misread him in the pass. hell baud even recently said "he plays bad but gets there". in a no nom game, im a prime target of thinking wolves. huge lynchbait yet also huge narrative controller and endgame threat


hoops was already on boog but rebolds

Well it's time for bed, hopefully I'm still alive tomorrow.

Probably Village
a500lbgorilla
Keybored
BID
Wufwugy
Luco

Wolfy
BooG
gabe

lynch BooG

oh heeeeeeey look who doesnt care about anything but confusion and getting not-deaded. me or boog, doesn't seem to matter

double fuck it

lynch boog

hmmmm

I find it interesting that the only outed pairs that are voting the same are Gabe-Rong.

I have a strong villa vibe from Rong, but Gabe is looking wolfier. Their vote on Boog is team self pres it looks like.

I'd be really interested in Rong's thoughts on Gabe.

Lynch Gabe for some incentive for Rong to talk to me about Gabe.

erebody bolding boog and gabe now

Rascal risking his V-points by asking other people to tell him what to think about the game.

You can slide back to neutral.

***
My vote on baud is going nowhere. (I still think baud has yet to show any Village spirit.)

I'm not voting gabe today. I could get on a rong wagon, though. :/

I can't bring myself to vote wuf. I'm wary of wuf talking his way out of lynch, but I believe he's given me enough to lean V.
Hoopy, on the other hand... IDK.

The other main wagon is boog, who I have as neutral, and not a V-lean.
I have slight V-lean on monstrman, and it's weak.

I can lynch boog
but I'd prefer to lynch from baud, rong, luco

erebody including me. at least i had actual reasons. not some bullshit protection or bullshit self preservation

i am unconvinced that any of the leading wagons are wolves because they seemed to just spring out of nowhere. but mmm is on boog and he's my most likely wolf. it could be that he's trying to protect gabe.

i dont like some other players on the boog wagon, but i'm keeping who and why to myself for now

gabe has a wolfy villager style, but i dont think he ever wakes up all of a sudden when he's villager and getting lots of heat, which he has done this game

lynch gabe

same time as me

simultaneous post. I'm going with it.
Rescind Wuf (but fuck it we're lynching him tomorrow)
Lynch Gabe (which is obviously equivalent to a lynch vote for Rong = when one of gabe/rong flips wolf we go after mmm tomorrow cos he seems to be claiming that he wants rong lynched and would vote rong if he was a viable wagon but.... dunno what the but is really...)

a little surprised shakespeare (i mean daven) found enough time to stray his vision from me. tbh im sitting on my thoughts about him since i have been so epicly burned by his unquenchable desire to always help wolves.

sorry mmm, yes i do keep lots of stuff close to the vest. only newbs say most of what who they think is wolf and who isnt. i have long since changed to a style where i focus attention on individuals and wagon dynamics


late to the party. or maybe just on time. gabe was already over boog from both me and daven's posts. mmm looks worried since there was no time left

I'm pretty sure the votes are tied 6/6 with the tie going to boog


This is killing me.

lynch gabe

I hope it's the right move.

d2

never let a lack of rationale stop you!

lynch wufwugy

fancy fucking that

lynch wufwugy

here we have it folks. rilla and baud haven't assed a single correct thought about me all game, and here they are voting in block. they care more about getting rid of me than they do actually hunting. we have a wealth of information on d1. all good villagers use that info to their advantage. only bad wolves disregard it and cling to an agenda


lynch baud

for postgame: baud and rilla, with mmm and keybored for the final two.