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Possible bluff spot

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  1. #1
    I'd prob check {33,55-88}

    Against his betting range {JJ+,44,22,AdKd,AdQd,AJs,KdQd,AJo}

    AJo has 25% equity.

    Since this guy has packed all his strong hands into his betting range it should leave him very exploitable to bluffs shouldn't it? So every time he checks we can bet a very weak range, to exploit how weak his checking range is.

    Is the proper exploitative adjustment here to widen our calling range pre-flop to contain more speculative hands that we can stack him with, and then bet a really weak range every time he checks? And when he does c-bet just fold unless you have a nutted hand your willing to stack off with?

    Then if we notice he starts check-calling with PP's etc, we can just start value betting more and bluffing less, like in this hand for example if he started check-calling 55-TT, we could start value betting anything better than a pair of 8's, which has 56% equity vs that calling range?
    Erín Go Bragh
  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by seven-deuce View Post
    I'd prob check {33,55-88}
    So is it correct to say that you'd bet all hands better than these for value and all hands worse than these as a bluff? What's your range when you flat his open pre?
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  3. #3
    OP though seriously. You do all this analysis in this spot that is somewhat negligible, when NOT 3betting preflop is probably a much more common spot, where you're missing much more value.

    Why are you flatting pre?
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  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24 View Post
    OP though seriously. You do all this analysis in this spot that is somewhat negligible, when NOT 3betting preflop is probably a much more common spot, where you're missing much more value.

    Why are you flatting pre?
    +1. Also I think you are grossly off on his pre range sb vs bb. He is likely much wider.

    And even if he opens that range and plays fit fold just 3bet 2.5 to 3x and you will show profit when he folds every worse hand.

    edit: regarding your most recent post you do not have zero % equity when he calls. Especially if he is as fit - fold as you say and lets you realize your equity by not betting.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by dneureiter View Post
    edit: regarding your most recent post you do not have zero % equity when he calls. Especially if he is as fit - fold as you say and lets you realize your equity by not betting.
    Quote Originally Posted by seven-deuce View Post
    What's interesting is if i remove TT from his folding range, he's only folding 61.5% so this 3-bet as a pure bluff with no equity would be -EV, but we have equity
    GG.
    Erín Go Bragh

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