Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumFTR Community

Are you smarter than a pigeon?

View Poll Results: Do you switch you choice?

Voters
27. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes, always

    14 51.85%
  • No, never

    3 11.11%
  • I already know the correct answer Mr Smartypants

    10 37.04%
Results 1 to 52 of 52

Hybrid View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. #1
    spoonitnow's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Posts
    14,219
    Location
    North Carolina
    Quote Originally Posted by XxStacksxX View Post
    Now if you show one at random, as in the Monty Hall problem, then I don't see how it would differ really. Essentially the Ace is the car, and the Queen/King are goats.
    the monty hall situation depends on the person choosing which door to expose to you knowing which door holds the big prize or w/e and never shows that door to you

    if the door chooser person picks at random, you're 50/50 the times he doesn't expose the prize by opening a door
  2. #2
    Lukie's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Posts
    10,758
    Location
    Never read any stickies or announcements
    Quote Originally Posted by spoonitnow View Post
    the monty hall situation depends on the person choosing which door to expose to you knowing which door holds the big prize or w/e and never shows that door to you

    if the door chooser person picks at random, you're 50/50 the times he doesn't expose the prize by opening a door
    Right, which is why Boost's response to the question as posed in the OP was at the very least, not wrong. Whether he intended that or not I have no idea.
  3. #3
    CoccoBill's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Posts
    2,523
    Location
    Finding my game
    Quote Originally Posted by Lukie View Post
    Right, which is why Boost's response to the question as posed in the OP was at the very least, not wrong. Whether he intended that or not I have no idea.
    Holding will never improve your odds and switching will never worsen them, it's always correct to switch whether the host opens the door randomly or not.

    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
    Non-randomness implied. Boost's response was wrong.
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  4. #4
    Stacks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Posts
    4,015
    Location
    Im opedipus bitch, the original balla.
    Quote Originally Posted by spoonitnow View Post
    the monty hall situation depends on the person choosing which door to expose to you knowing which door holds the big prize or w/e and never shows that door to you

    if the door chooser person picks at random, you're 50/50 the times he doesn't expose the prize by opening a door
    I didn't mean to say randomly showing one of the cards. What I meant was he just wouldn't have a system whereby he has to show the lowest card, as first stated by Dan. But that yes he knew which was the Ace, and would show the card that would leave us with 2 cards, one of which was still the Ace.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •