4bet Shoving AKo Pre-Flop-Line check

[kmind]

philly - that'd be slightly -EV. I suck at math but I've run it through CardrunnersEV. I gave 0 FE of course.

[philly and the phanatics]

philly - that'd be slightly -EV. I suck at math but I've run it through CardrunnersEV. I gave 0 FE of course.

i am not trying to hate, but here is my math, idk maybe someone else could point out what im doing wrong.

Our hand has 49.175% equity vs TT+ AQ+

A)49.175% of the time we win his effective stack (6.18) and the pot (.27)
B)50.825% of the time we lose 5.98 (our stack - our initial 4bb bet)

so A ends up being 3.1717
and B ends up being 3.039

if you subtract B from A, you get $ .13

In other words you would win 2.6bb every time you did this (pretty high variance play imo)


again im not posting this to like "show up cardrunners ev" rather to figure out where im going wrong

edit- maybe cardrunners ev takes rake into account, in which case i guess this could be -ev slightly