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 Originally Posted by Tasha
I have Hero's equity after the flop against the top 15% of hands as 60%.
That points to betting, no?
You can't just blindly select 15% in pokerstove and use that for an opponent's range. For example, do you really think that he will raise with As9s? That's in the top 15% of hands, but it's not likely to be in his raising range on this board.
I think spoon asked about maximizing EV because: if we raise then we will probably fold out a lot of the draws the villain has (straights, weaker flushes, combos) and he will continue with sets, the odd two-pair (T9s?), and maybe top pair (maybe). If he calls, our equity plummets and then if the third club hits our villain may shut down.
But if we call and keep all of his draws in his range, we have a good chance of hitting our nut flush and, at the same time, letting the villain hit a weaker flush or straight, in which case we will almost certainly stack him.
This is discussed in NL:TaP on page 53, "Don't Take Away Their Rope".
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