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So, I appear to have an equity of 43.440% of the pot, which after his shove would have been approximately $15 * .4344 = $6.52, which would mean that I would be risking about $5.00 for $6.52 in equity, for a net Expected Value of $1.52.
The correct EV calculation here would be:
- 43.44% of the time you win $15
- 56.56% of the time you loose $5
So EV = 0.4344*$15 - 0.5656*$5 = $3.688
http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ll-173396.html
Also mind that when you have three of a kind while holding a pocket pair, the hand is called a set. When you have three of a kind on a paired board with just one of your pocket cards being one of the "three", the hand is called trips. A set is vastly more powerful than trips, among others because it is better disguised and also because even if you are beat on the flop by a straight or a flush, you still have a non negligible chance to boat up (make a full house). The chance to boat up with trips is much slimmer.
 Originally Posted by agnesamurphy
I understand that this was meant to be a post- flop discussion, but I have to point out that limping in pre with the 7s was a pretty bad move. Definitely should have raised in mid to late position.
Granted, it worked out here because it's unlikely the villain would put you on a set based on your pre- flop play. It's also much more likely that the villain is shoving with hands that you beat. However, it did invite the villain to call behind you with those pockets that would have flopped a straight here.
By raising pre, your nitty villain's range is much narrower heading to the flop if he calls the raise. Even so, a call is still warranted.
That's not always true. Set mining at the micros works, and most villains will not put you on a set just because you limped pre and want action on the flop. If you have three or four limpers who like to limp/call and you raise, 9 times out of 10 you will find yourself on the flop in a bloated multiway pot with a hand that does not play well.
FWIW, my small/middling pairs are the only hands I limp with preflop, and I am profitable with them.
This may be different at higher stakes when villains become better at spotting sets.
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