Well, that was surprising...

I was certain that calling here was a mistake, but...

Pokerstove results:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

18,810 games 0.001 secs 18,810,000 games/sec

Board: 7h 8s 9d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.440% 41.96% 01.48% 7892 279.00 { 7c7d }
Hand 1: 56.560% 55.08% 01.48% 10360 279.00 { TT-88, JTs, 97s+, 87s }

So, I appear to have an equity of 43.440% of the pot, which after his shove would have been approximately $15 * .4344 = $6.52, which would mean that I would be risking about $5.00 for $6.52 in equity, for a net Expected Value of $1.52.

From a pot odds perspective I have a...1 to 3 pot odds call ($5.00 to win $15, bounded on the low end by my stack size) with a 43.440% chance of winning. So...1 to 3 pot odds versus 1 to 2.3 chance of winning.

Easy call, even in the face of this incredibly scary deck and nitty player.



The actual outcome of this hand was that I did call, and he turned over 9's, which held up and stacked me. I left that table, found another, and with the other two tables I was playing ended the session up a few dollars total.