Gotta go hydroponic bro. It's the only way.
05-07-2012 12:23 PM
#676
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Gotta go hydroponic bro. It's the only way. | |
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05-07-2012 03:06 PM
#677
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Here's a graph using a filter for hands where the pot > 80 BB. Guess this makes me feel better. You can see the big ass tilt session starting about hand 130. The red line starts dipping first. I was getting run over and had to make some big laydowns, then tilted and spewed. Still, except for that session, I'm generally making good decisions in the big pots. |
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05-07-2012 03:15 PM
#678
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The small pots are break even, the medium 50 - 80 BB pots I'm down $13. Any ideas on what that means? I think the medium-sized pots are steady negatives because I'm avoiding bad spots to jam, and the small ball is break even because I'm stealing enough and avoiding trouble. |
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05-07-2012 03:29 PM
#679
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filter again adding vpip = true |
Last edited by daven; 05-07-2012 at 03:36 PM.
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05-07-2012 03:31 PM
#680
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thx daven - rookie mistake, but you know what? I'm just happy being back at the tables! |
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05-07-2012 04:01 PM
#681
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ok, w/ filtering done right: |
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05-08-2012 02:25 AM
#682
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Tough night. After posting above, I played 800 hands, down 2 BI. Just completely card dead, flop dead. Great deal of fish at the tables, all of whom pwn'd the shizzle out of me. |
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05-08-2012 08:16 AM
#683
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looking at those stats above , it looks like you are running 45-50% VPIP. Is that solely a result of starting tables or are you tending to take the starting tables hand ranges to the full tables as well? |
05-08-2012 08:38 AM
#684
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Something that can kill a session for me is starting a table and not leaving if the table sets up bad. If a couple of 52/6's or chronic 3bettors sit down to my left it behooves me to get up and start another table. | |
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05-08-2012 09:20 AM
#685
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Couldn't sleep. Got in another 45 minutes 2-tabling HU and 3-way, up a BI when I quit around 4 AM. The guy I destroyed was min-stacking, ~ 30 BB's. He just shoveled the flop every so often, so I looked him with A5 > 22 and then, about 10 hands later, A7 > 22. That surely tilted him. The win with A7 was four clubs to my 7c, a flush. I don't feel too bad about winning with those coin flip hands. I would grind him down to 1/2 to 2/3 of his stack, then we'd be all in. I lost several fo those "small" all-ins I was dominating preflop or way ahead on the flop. |
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05-08-2012 10:46 AM
#686
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Filtered for 5-6 handed. By the way, the laggy approach is intentional, not just "spillover" from super-short-handed. I was a 18/15 6max TAGG-nit during my successful early runs at 10nl, 25nl and 50nl, but got crushed at 100nl by the 25/18's. |
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05-08-2012 10:56 AM
#687
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HU, I'm 85/75 BTN (11 BB/100), 61/16 BB (7 BB/100). 700 HH. Up $4.90. |
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05-08-2012 02:58 PM
#688
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That was a profitable 11 min break, up a BI. |
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05-08-2012 03:19 PM
#689
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one obvious thing i saw was how do you get 26/16 UTG . thats implying an 1/3 of the time you put money in UTg you are limping in .Its not even as if you are limp 3betting since UTG 3bet is 0. Then once you do see the flop you only cbet it 2/3 times with what should be your strongest range. |
05-08-2012 03:49 PM
#690
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I appreciate the comments, Keith. I've never limped before in my poker career, so honestly was just trying it out. I got into several tables during long sessions where it was a massive limp-fest every hand, and I must have limped UTG 50 times in one 4 hour session late Saturday night. |
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05-08-2012 03:57 PM
#691
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05-08-2012 03:59 PM
#692
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you limp and call more than is standard in a 'destroy dead money at the micros' gameplan. Doesn't mean it's necessarily bad, but it's definitely something you should think about. Once you have more data run a filter on vpip = true, pfr = false and run reports on types of hands (i.e. scs, s1gs, s2gs, Axs, small pairs, etc) |
Last edited by daven; 05-08-2012 at 04:15 PM.
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05-08-2012 09:05 PM
#693
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Merge - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players |
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05-09-2012 01:38 PM
#694
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Note: in hand above, Villain was 70/30/0.8. It's hands like these that have me questioning the (short term) value of All-in EV (adj). You're playing against a range, and even though we got the money in behind, we're pretty stoked to play this line against this range all day for 50 BB. |
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05-09-2012 04:58 PM
#695
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no doubt we'll be butting heads if we haven't already | |
05-09-2012 06:21 PM
#696
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05-09-2012 09:32 PM
#697
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Left dinner at a pub and pulled out, drove half a block wrong way on a one-way street. Total brain freeze. Blue lights lit up immediately. Got off with a warning. Whew! |
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05-09-2012 09:39 PM
#698
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Speaking of brain freezes, I accidentally played 3 hands of 10NL this afternoon. I am in technical violation of my staking agreement. I misclicked and joined a 10NL table along with 3 4NL tables. Should have realized it when it asked for a bigger buy-in than normal, but I was up big on a couple of tables, then sat out, then rejoined. So I thought it was a 4NL where I had been running good. |
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05-09-2012 10:03 PM
#699
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lol, brainfreeze must be going around today. Not doing much better. | |
Last edited by supa; 05-09-2012 at 10:06 PM.
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05-12-2012 09:35 AM
#700
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Lost 1BI Wednesday and 3 BI Thursday, didn't play yesterday until late, picked up 3/4 BI and went to bed. |
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05-12-2012 10:00 AM
#701
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Oh, just read Keith's whole email (it was LONG), and there is some great advice on flatting. So I am including that in my work/study. |
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05-12-2012 11:46 AM
#702
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I think many would disagree with me. But damn, why make shit harder on yourself. If you weren't staked, I wouldn't say what I am about to. But, with a stake your goal is to win money. | |
05-12-2012 12:41 PM
#703
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I hate spoon as a person with every fiber of my being, but his poker advice is still solid. Can't believe people disregard it nowadays. I rarely (never) go into the BC anymore, so I can't honestly say I've seen the bashing taking place, although it wouldn't surprise me. | |
05-12-2012 12:57 PM
#704
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It's easy to disregard Spoons teaching because his lessons were hard. We've been given an out in the BC and the weaker of us have used that out. It was hard to post a hand when he was around because we always had to devise a range for villain (gasp, like how could that ever help our game). IDK, I'm an idiot and lazy. | |
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05-12-2012 03:28 PM
#705
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Shit went downhill after BF. Anyways, dont wanna be out of line but yeah I think paying off that stake should take priority. | |
Last edited by WeaselT; 05-12-2012 at 03:38 PM. | |
05-12-2012 03:39 PM
#706
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who is bad mouthing spoon? I think people just started to 1st with put him on a range, when it was completely fucking dumb. Spoon had a method he knew what he was talking bout but the folks that sucked his dick to much ruined the point of a beginner posting, if putting villain on a range was easy then we'd already know the answers to our questions well before we had to ask em. the BC at the min is a body without a head, almost everyone who posts regular is a fish, with the exception of Daven prolly, so when you post a difficult question (one with a fuck tonne of variables) us fish dont know how to respond, telling you to fold J9o to an UTG open is easy; telling you a good calling range depends solely on the range you give your opponent and how he plays that range, which is obviously much fucking harder. I don't know why people are so obsessed with playing in a style, play to exploit the villains at yr table; if you don't know how; move. |
Last edited by kickass; 05-12-2012 at 03:43 PM. | |
05-12-2012 04:09 PM
#707
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You're right - I need to consider this more. Maybe I could get to the same goal via a different learning route. |
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05-12-2012 04:19 PM
#708
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05-12-2012 04:33 PM
#709
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Whatever way I go, I'm going to spend a ton of time learning and understanding, not just blindly following advice. By the way, I'm willing to follow advice, just not without understanding, too. |
Last edited by Robb; 05-12-2012 at 04:38 PM. | |
05-12-2012 04:43 PM
#710
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It's not badmouthing, it's a respect thing. Certain posters I know who deserve more respect aren't getting it. And I would still like to know what happened to Spoon, so I mentioned him. Did he leave voluntarily? Or did he get canned? |
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05-12-2012 05:41 PM
#711
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I believe he went off to do what he does, teach math. No moar pokerz. | |
05-12-2012 05:59 PM
#712
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Cant remember if he wuit before BF, or shortly after. I dont play much anymore, but when I do get the bug, I read through his strat posts almosr exclusively. | |
05-12-2012 09:22 PM
#713
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Nope, midwest is my home. | |
05-13-2012 08:53 AM
#714
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OK, decent-ish session last night, up a BI, ran 2 BI's behind EV for over an hour after AK < AJ (all-in pre) went xxxxJ for 125 BB's. I can't believe I was so dumb, as the table selection is perfect for nut-camping and the VERY occasional exploitation. Wow, they're chucking chips around the table like its confetti on New Year's Eve, and all I have to do is wait for my Aces to get cracked. |
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05-13-2012 12:26 PM
#715
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Just played this vs WeaselT (sorry!) |
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05-13-2012 01:56 PM
#716
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OK, finally got the HUD setup so that it displays stats only from the ssh'd tables I've played against opponents. I have separate filters for HU, 3-way and 4-way, then normal HUD for 5+ opponents. It's perfect for starting tables, as I can see how folks adjust - one thing they do is tighten up way too quickly as the table goes 3-way. |
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05-13-2012 02:46 PM
#717
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should the weasel hand have been a weasel fold pre.. In essence he's playing pre for a flush/straight draw and from your comments .....if the board comes out connected in that way it's unlikely that you 'd pay him off. It just happened that you connected well with it as well. |
05-13-2012 02:54 PM
#718
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Yo, haha np on the stack :P. Thoughts on the hand anyone? Been runnin about 15/12 this month (9BB/100 tho). Nitty for sure I know. Last month was more around 18-20/16. Was pretty meh. I'm an ex FRer for now so I'm working hard to break out of my nitty shell. | |
05-13-2012 04:22 PM
#719
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Quite certainly, yes it's a fold oop. I like it fine for a raise on the button 3-way against nitty villains, though it's a bit laggy even for me. |
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05-13-2012 05:53 PM
#720
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05-13-2012 05:56 PM
#721
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05-13-2012 06:01 PM
#722
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05-13-2012 06:18 PM
#723
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when you post a range, it shows what your thinking bout through out the hand (its an embarrassing thing to have your range torn to shreds let me tell you) then folks with better poker brains can tell you where your going wrong. it makes a fuck tonne of sense but sometimes folks just want to know what villains range is cos they don't got a klue then when every fucker and his dog is like durrrrrr put villain on a fucking range and you go fuck you bc ima fuck off to 2+2 or some other shit for brains forum. nobody gets better but some folks get to feel oh so important cos they said the range thing first. ima drunkard |
05-13-2012 06:23 PM
#724
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It's Keith's to share, as he put it all together. I will post some graphs that he suggested and what I think I'm looking at. |
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05-13-2012 06:42 PM
#725
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Here's a thread I started some years back: Practicing Ranges |
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05-13-2012 08:28 PM
#726
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Here's a fun hand. Put villain on a range, and see why it matters. And this one is pretty routine. Villain is 47/30/1.8 over 30 hands, with 9% 3b (1 of 11 opportunities). I think, if you get this range right, we're betting for value on the river and hating life if he shoves over the top. |
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05-14-2012 01:11 AM
#727
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From Keith's suggestions, I have 11.4k hands for the following filters. |
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05-14-2012 01:22 AM
#728
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One more thing. Steal success is 45%, and I'm min-raising on the BTN. Anyone know good range for steal success numbers? |
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05-14-2012 04:13 AM
#729
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firstly, thanks for doing this robb. | |
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05-14-2012 08:18 AM
#730
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No problem! Thought of your post when I played this hand, as I was spinning through the combos on hyper-speed trying my best to narrow this range. |
Last edited by Robb; 05-14-2012 at 08:20 AM. | |
05-14-2012 12:44 PM
#731
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Cheers, but can't take credit - it's all Dan Harrington. | |
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05-14-2012 01:12 PM
#732
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I have been going through various computers and finding various fragments of my poker study. It's not very organized as I just quit after Black Friday. I used to know where all the important bits and scraps and spreadsheets were. I'll post it if I find it. |
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05-14-2012 01:40 PM
#733
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Two big leaks I'm working on, thanks to Keith's suggestions and some thoughts I've had. (Can you tell I'm at work with a 3 PM meeting and totally bored until then? Already worked out...maybe lunch? That'll kill 45 minutes!) |
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05-14-2012 06:24 PM
#734
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DJ, here's the file: |
Last edited by Robb; 05-14-2012 at 06:27 PM. | |
05-14-2012 06:33 PM
#735
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I would also start here, with ISF Fold Equity. Below the article are links to ~30 articles, about 15 of which are ISF's. You can learn a ton of poker by reading Danny's stuff. |
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05-14-2012 07:02 PM
#736
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05-14-2012 09:29 PM
#737
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05-15-2012 02:03 AM
#738
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fixed. | |
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05-15-2012 05:20 PM
#739
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Wow, variance. Lost 4 BI's last night, in like 250 hands. Eight coin flips, lost all but two. AK < 77, AK < JJ, JJ < AK, AK < AJ (all preflop). I jammed ATs flush draw + overcard outs over JJ and couldn't hit. HU is high variance, as I recall saying, but I don't have to like it. |
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05-15-2012 05:38 PM
#740
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Fun card game at the gym yesterday. Way sore today. Pick an exercise for each suit, something like spades = pushups, diamonds = V-ups, hearts = burpees and clubs = lunges. |
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05-15-2012 08:58 PM
#741
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Thought on flop the downshwong was still on - thank you, river! |
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05-16-2012 01:24 AM
#742
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Well, the downschwong wasn't quite over. I'm up about 1 BI tonight, but running 3 BI's below EV. Typical cracked river aces pokers. Felt good. A couple years back, that would have tilted me hard. Tonight, I was wobbly for a just a few hands, then got it back online. I won't say I didn't tilt, but I didn't tilt hard and regained equilibrium fast. |
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05-16-2012 03:52 PM
#743
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Focus on the CO, who is 38/16/1.2. We can estimate his cold calling range by multiplying the gap between vpip and pfr by 2 = 2 * (38 - 16 ) = 44%. (When we look it up, it's 41%.) |
Last edited by Robb; 05-16-2012 at 04:03 PM. | |
05-16-2012 06:14 PM
#744
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05-16-2012 07:02 PM
#745
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A quick point it looks like you missed about cold calling. If you are cold calling OOP, you're going to lose money regardless. It's just a question of am I losing less money then I am by folding? If you are losing -20bb/100 in the BB when you cold call with a bunch of weak hands(Need a huge sample to check this) you are actually probably too tight still and some people will be like omg cold calling too much I should tighten up! This is obviously a huge mistake but beginners/mediocre and even some good players(from studies I've done) don't understand this at all. |
05-16-2012 07:15 PM
#746
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05-16-2012 07:18 PM
#747
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Like the HH with my complete notes (referencing the sheet) in the spoiler section right above your post? |
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05-17-2012 07:02 AM
#748
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Up a BI in two short sessions, one last night, one this morning. Thanks to this hand. Stats don't matter, he's tilting. And he's run this shove over line several times on me and others at the table. I stacked him HU originally for 1/4 BI to start the tilt, then he bought in bigger. |
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05-17-2012 08:00 AM
#749
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any reason for being 78bb? Arent you potentially missing value against BB by not being 100bb deep with him?. |
05-17-2012 10:43 AM
#750
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Starting tables, I only have a 70BB stack. I play small ball w/ 2x BTN raises standard, and this adjusts the post flop pot-to-stack ratios more optimally. |
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