River sizing?

[acg123]

His stats mean squadouche in all reality. I think his range is Kx,busted FD,MAYBE a 7 if he called with a s.c. type hand, he only has about a pot size bet left in his stack, I would go for around 3-3.50 and pray he calls. He's almost never calling a jam, unless he has exactly a 7, or some weak shit like K7s or something stupid. Take it to value town and pray he looks you up. Just my deuce.

[d0zer]

His stats mean squadouche in all reality

Not at all. The odds of someone playing 4/6 hands being a splashy fish is much higher than them being a reg, especially if hero's been playing these limits for a while and has a decent sample on the regs.

I'd go on that assumption and do what david said.

[daviddem]

His stats mean squadouche in all reality. I think his range is Kx,busted FD,MAYBE a 7 if he called with a s.c. type hand, he only has about a pot size bet left in his stack, I would go for around 3-3.50 and pray he calls. He's almost never calling a jam, unless he has exactly a 7, or some weak shit like K7s or something stupid. Take it to value town and pray he looks you up. Just my deuce.

As d0zer already said, that is not true and there is a higher likelihood of him being a fish than a tight reg. The key word here is likelihood.

I you are interested in a mathematical proof, see here:
http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...th-175213.html