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 Originally Posted by JoeHaw
why its better to shove myself instead of trying to get to showdown without getting more money in even though I'll have to call if he does shove.
That's a good question. Bluff or bluff-catcher? I doubt it matters too much here because he shouldn't have any bluffs in his range, or be willing to fold anything, at this point in the hand, except maybe AKo one spade and there's only 4 of those.
The question is, are you ahead of at least 25% of the hands he has here? If not, then you could muck (but you'd have to be really really sure).
I'd put him on a preflop range of AK and QQ+, possibly JJ, probably not TT or AQs.
you're way behind
1 AKss
6 AA
6 JJ if he has those, let's call it 3
you're getting freerolled by
1 pair of black kings
you're way ahead of
6 QQ
3 AKo no spades, let's call it 1 since he probably folds some otf
you're well ahead of
4 AKo one spade
So it looks good. You're beating 6 up to 11 combos, and you're beat by 10 maybe 13 combos.
Since he probably bets all his monsters and checks his 12 out draws, I'd prefer shoving here just to charge those draws.
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