Stat Check - 10NL FR

[daven]

looks familiar. note that you don't need to play LAG to crush micro FR, probably 14-11 is optimal, but not necessarily that fun...

3 types of advantages, right? positional, card, and skill. Everyone over-estimates skill advantage. Positional and card are far less subjective.

anyway, i suggest tighter from ep, tighter from mp, increase pfr from button without increasing vpip. 3b less in ep. Steal more from co/bu and less from sb. Stop calling junk from the bb.

[NightGizmo]

looks familiar. note that you don't need to play LAG to crush micro FR, probably 14-11 is optimal, but not necessarily that fun...

3 types of advantages, right? positional, card, and skill. Everyone over-estimates skill advantage. Positional and card are far less subjective.

anyway, i suggest tighter from ep, tighter from mp, increase pfr from button without increasing vpip. 3b less in ep. Steal more from co/bu and less from sb. Stop calling junk from the bb.

Yes, I know I *could* play tighter to play optimally, but somehow I keep widening up a bit. I definitely need to tighten up my EP ranges, and I'm going to dig deeper into my MP stats to see what hands I should be trimming out.

you're probably calling 3bets too often

Probably (definitely). Thanks for all the input, it reinforces what I know I should be doing, but somehow keep forgetting at the tables.

hard to 3bet much at 10nl when everyone just open limps to you and raises only 5% of hands

Ha, true! But I think that's offset by the times we 3bet over the fish that like to minraise a wide range of hands.

Flop Cbet is a bit low, SB is too loose and increase your PFR in late position.

I might be calling a little too much from the SB, but most of my SB raises are either from a relatively tight value range or a blatant steal of a nit sitting in the BB. There are a lot of players at 10NL where I can steal with literally any two cards.

[Openside]

Are you Att. Steal too much in bad positions?

I have been trying to study spoon's post meticulously and apply it to my game.

http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...-a-152792.html

Assumptions i am making:
You win $0.1333/successful steal
You lose $0.4/unsuccessful steal
You fold the flop (i.e. not considering C bet)

You steal on average 39.47% with an average success rate of 55.58%. If my math is correct you are losing on average 0.7216 ptBB/Att. steal ($0.1443). You would need a success rate of 75% just to be breaking even.

[NightGizmo]

Are you Att. Steal too much?

You steal on average 39.47% with an average success rate of 55.58%. You would need a success rate of 75% just to be breaking even.

There are a few things to consider:

1) That 39.47% includes my value range, so my steal range is actually smaller than that. That also means that my success rate needs to be less, because I want them to call with my value range.
2) Against weak-tight villains, you can complete the steal on the flop by cbetting.
3) When there are nits in the blinds, my standard raise size is only 3bb from the BTN/SB.

I'm not sure how my stats compare to others, but if I filter for [ Position = 0 AND Raise First In ], my ptbb/100 is 60. For [ Post Small Blind AND Raise First In ] my win rate is only 1 ptbb/100.

Finally -- my range completely depends on who is in the blinds. There are some players where I will bet literally any two cards, and on the other extreme there are some players where I only raise for value.