Stat Check - 10NL FR

Are you Att. Steal too much in bad positions?

I have been trying to study spoon's post meticulously and apply it to my game.

http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...-a-152792.html

Assumptions i am making:
You win $0.1333/successful steal
You lose $0.4/unsuccessful steal
You fold the flop (i.e. not considering C bet)

You steal on average 39.47% with an average success rate of 55.58%. If my math is correct you are losing on average 0.7216 ptBB/Att. steal ($0.1443). You would need a success rate of 75% just to be breaking even.

Originally Posted by Openside

Are you Att. Steal too much?

You steal on average 39.47% with an average success rate of 55.58%. You would need a success rate of 75% just to be breaking even.

There are a few things to consider:

1) That 39.47% includes my value range, so my steal range is actually smaller than that. That also means that my success rate needs to be less, because I want them to call with my value range.
2) Against weak-tight villains, you can complete the steal on the flop by cbetting.
3) When there are nits in the blinds, my standard raise size is only 3bb from the BTN/SB.

I'm not sure how my stats compare to others, but if I filter for [ Position = 0 AND Raise First In ], my ptbb/100 is 60. For [ Post Small Blind AND Raise First In ] my win rate is only 1 ptbb/100.

Finally -- my range completely depends on who is in the blinds. There are some players where I will bet literally any two cards, and on the other extreme there are some players where I only raise for value.