Planning for Dummies

[pdk1010]

PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ggsh1ne ($6.02)
UTG+1 Hero ($9.96)
CO VIII8 ($5)
BTN manaomoo ($5)
SB Vasiliy623 ($5.58)
BB noremorze ($11.54)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, Vasiliy623 calls $0.18, 1 fold
Flop: ($0.45, 2 players)
1. Flop:

bet sizing will matter a ton here but we can get into that later...for now im going to say he uses a psb for simplicities sake

1. he leads psb


-what range does he do this with?
-TT+,44,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s-T7s,A2o+,KTo,QTo,JTo,T7o+

equity win tie
Hand 0: 37.661% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, J8s+, T8s-T7s, 97s-96s, 86s-85s, 75s-74s, 64s-63s, 53s-52s, 42s, A2o+, KTo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T7o+, 96o+, 85o+, 74o+, 63o+, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }

Hand 1: 62.339% { AQo }

-i think flatting is the best option here because we are way ahead of his leading range and if we were to raise(and he calls) we narrow his range to something like:

TT+,44,A9s+,A4s,ATo+,A4o

equity win
Hand 0: 48.483% { TT+, 44, A9s+, A4s, ATo+, A4o }
Hand 1: 51.517% { AQo }

and if he reraises

QQ+,TT,44,AQs+,ATs,A4s,AQo+,ATo,A4o


equity win
Hand 0: 52.236% { QQ+, TT, 44, AQs+, ATs, A4s, AQo+, ATo, A4o }
Hand 1: 47.764% { AQo }



so 3 betting is less than optimal and flatting is a much more ev play



im only going to respond a little bit at a time so it doesnt become like u have to right a thesis to respond so thats it for now ill add more later

2. he checks

pretty standard, his range is still the same as preflop so bet for value

his continuing range:

-TT+,44,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s-T7s,A2o+,KTo,QTo,JTo,T7o+

equity win tie
Hand 0: 37.661% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, J8s+, T8s-T7s, 97s-96s, 86s-85s, 75s-74s, 64s-63s, 53s-52s, 42s, A2o+, KTo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T7o+, 96o+, 85o+, 74o+, 63o+, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }

Hand 1: 62.339% { AQo }


standard value bet as we are ahead of his continuing range


he folds:

WE WIN POT LDFO

[bhaley66]

1. he leads psb
-what range does he do this with?
-TT+,44,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s-T7s,A2o+,KTo,QTo,JTo,T7o+

I don't see a 38/0 that checks a ginned flop have a range like this ever... imo it would be more like QQ+, TT, 44, AT, A4, AQs+, AKo.

-i think flatting is the best option here because we are way ahead of his leading range and if we were to raise(and he calls) we narrow his range to something like:

TT+,44,A9s+,A4s,ATo+,A4o

I don't agree with flatting here, I think he is probably continuing w/his whole range, so fold.

and if he reraises

QQ+,TT,44,AQs+,ATs,A4s,AQo+,ATo,A4o

so 3 betting is less than optimal and flatting is a much more ev play

I think he would be 3betting us with 44, TT, KK+, AT, A4... Imo, do not flat a psb on the flop, as this loose passive villain is prolly only raising hands that beat us.

Hopefully some of the better players will chime in on my ranges...

[pdk1010]

1. he leads psb

i thought about this and this villain is almost never taking this action, if he does lead i say like 90% of the time it will be for <1/2 psb which also makes my ranges make more sense.

[pdk1010]

bet sizing will matter a ton here but we can get into that later...for now im going to say he uses a psb for simplicities sake

1. he leads psb


-what range does he do this with?
-TT+,44,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s-T7s,A2o+,KTo,QTo,JTo,T7o+

equity win tie
Hand 0: 37.661% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, J8s+, T8s-T7s, 97s-96s, 86s-85s, 75s-74s, 64s-63s, 53s-52s, 42s, A2o+, KTo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T7o+, 96o+, 85o+, 74o+, 63o+, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }

Hand 1: 62.339% { AQo }

-i think flatting is the best option here because we are way ahead of his leading range and if we were to raise(and he calls) we narrow his range to something like:

TT+,44,A9s+,A4s,ATo+,A4o

equity win
Hand 0: 48.483% { TT+, 44, A9s+, A4s, ATo+, A4o }
Hand 1: 51.517% { AQo }

and if he reraises

QQ+,TT,44,AQs+,ATs,A4s,AQo+,ATo,A4o


equity win
Hand 0: 52.236% { QQ+, TT, 44, AQs+, ATs, A4s, AQo+, ATo, A4o }
Hand 1: 47.764% { AQo }



so 3 betting is less than optimal and flatting is a much more ev play



im only going to respond a little bit at a time so it doesnt become like u have to right a thesis to respond so thats it for now ill add more later

2. he checks

pretty standard, his range is still the same as preflop so bet for value

his continuing range:

-TT+,44,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s-T7s,A2o+,KTo,QTo,JTo,T7o+

equity win tie
Hand 0: 37.661% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, J8s+, T8s-T7s, 97s-96s, 86s-85s, 75s-74s, 64s-63s, 53s-52s, 42s, A2o+, KTo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T7o+, 96o+, 85o+, 74o+, 63o+, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }

Hand 1: 62.339% { AQo }


standard value bet as we are ahead of his continuing range


he folds:

WE WIN POT LDFO

so to continue i didnt account for the times the villain c/r us on the flop

if he does this(although this will be rare due to his passivity) his range would be like:

QQ+,TT,44,AQs+,ATs,A4s,AQo+,ATo,A4o


equity win
Hand 0: 52.236% { QQ+, TT, 44, AQs+, ATs, A4s, AQo+, ATo, A4o }
Hand 1: 47.764% { AQo }


although i prolly wouldnt have intended to b/f here that is my plan now.


ok so when villain just flats us on the flop there are a some situations we can get to on turn

im assuming villain checks to us on the turn for all the following:

a 10 comes

TT+,44,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s-T7s,A2o+,KTo,QTo,JTo,T7o+

was his continuing range which we are now:

equity win
Hand 0: 56.278% { AsQh }
Hand 1: 43.722% { TT+, 44, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T8s-T7s, A2o+, KTo, QTo, JTo, T7o+ }

a 4 comes:

equity win
Hand 0: 79.261% { AsQh }
Hand 1: 20.739% { TT+, 44, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T8s-T7s, A2o+, KTo, QTo, JTo, T7o+ }

both these situations my plan is to b/f because if we get raised his range becomes

QQ+,TT,44,AQs+,ATs,A4s,AQo+,ATo,A4o

which we are a dog to:

equity win
Hand 0: 34.749% { AsQh }
Hand 1: 65.251% { QQ+, TT, 44, AQs+, ATs, A4s, AQo+, ATo, A4o}




for other turn cards that are a brick for his range(2, 5, 6, etc) our equity is between 70-75% so my plan is to still b/f for value


if another A comes:

this is the same plan as before(b/f) but this was interesting because before i stoved this i was thinking that my plan would be to b/c or b/r but to villains raising range we are still the shit end of a flip so im still going to be b/f an Ace turn.

equity win
Hand 0: 44.196% { AsQh }
Hand 1: 55.804% { QQ+, TT, 44, AQs+, ATs, A4s, AQo+, ATo, A4o}


if a queen comes:


I am b/r and trying to get the money in asap as we become a 67% favorite against villains raising range:

equity win
Hand 0: 67.285% { AsQh }
Hand 1: 32.715% { QQ+, TT, 44, AQs+, ATs, A4s, AQo+, ATo, A4o}


ima tackle the river tomorrow....