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Flopped straight vs river shove 25nl
$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG Virmos ($13)
UTG+1 Pejca ($20.52) 25/19 over 16 hands
MP1 Burbulacus ($28.65)
MP2 Undertake ($39.56) 15/8 over 50 hands. plays pretty fit or fold
MP3 Duri78 ($28.39)
CO TonnaMunz ($25)
BTN ChequeRa1der ($24.75)
SB KillingAce ($29.60)
BB jhart1358 ($27.22)
Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 9 players) TonnaMunz is CO 
1 fold, Pejca raises to $1, 1 fold, Undertake calls $1, 1 fold, TonnaMunz calls $1, 3 folds
Flop: ($3.35, 3 players)
Pejca checks, Undertake checks, TonnaMunz bets $2, Pejca calls $2, Undertake calls $2
Probably could of bet a bit larger to get value from JJ-88 and AT and A8s probably peels as well for OR
Mp2 prob calls with pp's and some draws AJ KJ QJ JTs
Turn: ($9.35, 3 players)
Pejca checks, Undertake checks, TonnaMunz bets $6.50, Pejca calls $6.50, Undertake folds
Pretty horrible card for us. its checked down so I think bet/fold 2/3 is alright to get value from JJ, AT and A8s and we can just fold when boats raise us.
River: ($22.35, 2 players)
Pejca goes all-in $11.02,
river is a blank and villain snap jams
I think he could be doing 3 things here.
1. Value betting with his turned boats.
2. Getting it in relived a higher card didn't fall AT, JJ
3. Shipping a missed a AJ KJ draw and is 'bluffing'
Are 2 and 3 real or am i way to optimistic lol we need 25% equity to call
if villains range is TT-88,A8s,QJs,76s,QJo which we have 12.5% equity against
if we add JJ, ATs?
we would have 34% against JJ-88,ATs,A8s,QJs,76s,QJo
and if we add AJs and KJs we have 46% vs JJ-88,AJs-ATs,A8s,KJs,QJs,76s,QJo
Even if he does 2 and 3 a small % of the time i think it would be EV+ if not pretty close. I dunno i just feel like I played this really badly. Is my logic ok or way off? FPS?
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