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winning at NL100, losing at NL200?
Hi guys,
I need your input on something that has been bothering me for a few days.
I started playing in March 2005 with 50$ and turned it in 11K on December 1st playing NL25 to NL100 (and a bit of NL200) and some MTTs (actually won 4K in late november playing mtts). I'm not an exceptional poker player, but I think I play pretty well.
In December, I decided to play only NL200.. With a 11K bankroll, my goal was to play enough hands at NL200 to make sure I can beat the game and then move to NL400 and stay there for a while.
The problem is that I'm doing very well at NL100, but I'm losing at NL200. My play is pretty much the same.. I'm not scared at all playing NL200. I'm on a very bad streak currently... all my pocket pairs get cracked by sets (and I have some problems laying AA-KK post-flop on a non-scary board), I miss the flop 99.999% of the time, and when I hit it, someone will draw out on me. I also made a few really bad plays that I rarely do (kind of a semi-tilt.. calling even if I feel I'm beat just because I've put too many chips in the pot, etc.) , and I'm losing big time. Also, my big hands are not paid off like they used to at NL100. And on top of that, it seems like most of my c-bet and bluffs are called.
40K hands at NL100: PTBB/100 = 6.50
7K hands at NL200: PTBB/100 = -3.13 ( I was at +2BB after 2-3K and then things started to go wrong)
All the other stats are the same (PFR, VP$IP, etc)
My question is: At long term, can I really be losing at NL200 if I can beat NL100 hands down?? I feel like I belong at NL200 tables but I just don't want to keep loosing my hard-earned money... I lost almost 2000$ since my xmas break (and my goal was to make 2000$.. lol). 2K is a lot to me and I'm quite pissed that I lost that even if I know I should be able to earn it back. December is my first losing month too.. -800$ while I averaged 2K the 4 previous months. I even took 1 day off and came back top shape, only to lose 600$ that night.
I did a little test tonight.. 2-table NL100 and 2-table NL200 at the same time. The results:
NL200: -250$
NL100: +125$
Some advices would be welcomed!! Should I stay my whole life at NL100 or keep trying to win at NL200? I really don't know If it is just a downswing or if I'm not good enough to beat the NL200 players (and I don't want to waste another 2K to figure that out)
I could take a break but I don't like that because I know I can be making money playing poker.
Thanks
a frustrated poker player
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