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Increase/Decrease Fold Equity

  
 
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Tasha
Old 08-22-2010, 03:42 PM     Post subject: Increase/Decrease Fold Equity #1 (permalink)  
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How does fold equity change as the street are played out? In particular I'm asking here about fold equity when you go all-in.
There seems to be two ways of looking at it.
On the one hand fold equity goes up with each street because Villain has less and less chance to complete his draw.
On the other hand, fold equity might be going down because perhaps he has improved his hand. Or is it Villain dependent (which seems to me to be a bit of a cop out answer)?
At what point is fold equity at its lowest? Preflop, or after the flop?
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Imthenewfish
Old 08-22-2010, 03:44 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Usually its at its lowest when villains range is strong
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JKDS
Old 08-22-2010, 04:07 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Imthenewfish View Post
Usually its at its lowest when villains range is strong
This
Quote:
Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
But no, jkds is lolvillager and anyone who wants to string him up is sighbad.
 
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rong
Old 08-22-2010, 10:32 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tasha View Post
How does fold equity change as the street are played out? In particular I'm asking here about fold equity when you go all-in.
There seems to be two ways of looking at it.
On the one hand fold equity goes up with each street because Villain has less and less chance to complete his draw.
On the other hand, fold equity might be going down because perhaps he has improved his hand. Or is it Villain dependent (which seems to me to be a bit of a cop out answer)?
At what point is fold equity at its lowest? Preflop, or after the flop?
I don't think you really get it.

It's not about which street, it's about the hand villain has and the range he puts you on, which we interpret thought the range we put villan on against the range we estimate he puts you on.

For example, if you have a very tight image and a laggy player ends up 3 betting you preflop & you shove, you probably have a large amount of fold equity as villans range is wide and yours is pretty narrow.

However, if you call from utg in a multiway pot and 2 hearts flop, and you then call bets on the flop and turn and the river is a heart, you would often have a lot of fold equity here too.

The street is irrelevent, it's purely a range vs range estimation at any point where you are thinking of betting.
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hey guys, if you ever make a snap call on the river when your opponent raises you're fucking retarded.

Fucking. Retarded.
 
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Penneywize
Old 08-23-2010, 04:19 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Tasha, chapter 3 of "Easy Game" has a pretty good introduction on fold equity and how it can be practically applied to game situations, as well as a detail of what factors it primarily depends on. The posts above are spot on, obviously, but if you'd like to be properly acquainted to the topic I suggest reading it.

I may or may not have .pdfs of this book, which I may or may not give you if you decided to log in to IRC with us.... hint hint
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Tasha
Old 08-24-2010, 11:31 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Thanks Penny, that is very kind of you. However, I use a Mac so I'm afraid that isn't possible at the moment.
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Penneywize
Old 08-24-2010, 01:32 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Pretty sure plenty of IRC people are on Macs... JKDS for example, he's a big mac-using douchebag. And yes Macs can run pdf files
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JKDS
Old 08-24-2010, 01:58 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Penneywize View Post
Pretty sure plenty of IRC people are on Macs... JKDS for example, he's a big mac-using douchebag. And yes Macs can run pdf files
Lies, itt
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Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
But no, jkds is lolvillager and anyone who wants to string him up is sighbad.
 
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Penneywize
Old 08-24-2010, 02:31 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by JKDS View Post
Lies, itt
Hmm I thought you used a mac
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JKDS
Old 08-24-2010, 03:15 PM #10 (permalink)  
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lol no. How can i spam irc with starcraft 2 talk if i used a mac?
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But no, jkds is lolvillager and anyone who wants to string him up is sighbad.
 
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Penneywize
Old 08-24-2010, 03:27 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Hmm didn't think you played Starcraft 2

Never mind. Moral of the story: using a mac isn't an excuse to not log in IRC. By proxy, using a mac isn't an excuse to suck at poker.

Dranger and badgers are both mac users and visit IRC all the time btw Tasha.
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Tasha
Old 08-25-2010, 12:33 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Penneywize View Post
Hmm didn't think you played Starcraft 2

Never mind. Moral of the story: using a mac isn't an excuse to not log in IRC. By proxy, using a mac isn't an excuse to suck at poker.

Dranger and badgers are both mac users and visit IRC all the time btw Tasha.
I tried to do that IRC thing once and it wanted to download an .exe file to make it work.
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NightGizmo
Old 08-25-2010, 02:42 PM #13 (permalink)  
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I'm not much of a mac expert, but I'm sure you can find Mac IRC clients. Try typing in "mac irc client" into Google and see what programs are available.
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bhaley66
Old 08-25-2010, 04:43 PM #14 (permalink)  
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I know almost nothing about macs at all, but did you try the website that you can access irc on?
www.thundercity.net
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Tasha
Old 08-26-2010, 09:23 AM #15 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by bhaley66 View Post
I know almost nothing about macs at all, but did you try the website that you can access irc on?
www.thundercity.net
Yes, I did. It tried to load some kind of flash plugin that I don't have and couldn't add.
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Penneywize
Old 08-26-2010, 02:54 PM #16 (permalink)  
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just PM dranger and figure out what he did to get his mac workin on irc

or google it like gizmo said

this really shouldn't be an ordeal
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Roller
Old 08-27-2010, 05:33 AM #17 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Tasha View Post
Thanks Penny, that is very kind of you. However, I use a Mac so I'm afraid that isn't possible at the moment.

Colloquy is my choice for an IRC client in a Mac environment.

Colloquy: IRC, SILC & ICB Client


Here are others also:
Macintosh Chat Clients
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Penneywize
Old 08-27-2010, 04:04 PM #18 (permalink)  
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bump.

So, see you on IRC tonight / this weekend, Tasha?
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Tasha
Old 08-29-2010, 11:20 AM #19 (permalink)  
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Could be, but don't hold your breath. :-p
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