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CORONAVIRUS PANIC WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE

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  1. #1
    There are less than 100K ICU beds in the US. There's an order of magnitude greater number of people who are in the high risk group. This makes the data you're seeking irrelevant.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by boost View Post
    There are less than 100K ICU beds in the US. There's an order of magnitude greater number of people who are in the high risk group. This makes the data you're seeking irrelevant.
    I'm unsure what you're getting at. We always want to know the most relevant "what would happen otherwise" data.
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    I'm unsure what you're getting at. We always want to know the most relevant "what would happen otherwise" data.
    You don't need the information you were looking for to know what would happen otherwise. Without locking things down, the curve is much steeper. A steeper curve overwhelms the healthcare system, causing deaths outside of the demographic that would otherwise be the main deaths.

    Essentially, just going on as normal and letting it happen won't simply cull the extremely old and sick.

    If it helps, we can imagine we have unlimited ICU capacity. In that case it may very well make more sense to let the economy keep on keepin on.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by boost View Post
    You don't need the information you were looking for to know what would happen otherwise. Without locking things down, the curve is much steeper. A steeper curve overwhelms the healthcare system, causing deaths outside of the demographic that would otherwise be the main deaths.

    Essentially, just going on as normal and letting it happen won't simply cull the extremely old and sick.

    If it helps, we can imagine we have unlimited ICU capacity. In that case it may very well make more sense to let the economy keep on keepin on.
    This, along with the other, are relavant.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    This, along with the other, are relavant.
    One supersedes the other. We don't need to find out the best use for a limited supply of apples if the orchards just burned down.

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