Will Le Pen win

[Micro2Macro]

What do you guys think about the current betting odds?

[OngBonga]

What do you guys think about the current betting odds?

Probably bollocks. Brexit was 5:1 at betfair before polls closed, Trump was also a long shot. It's all part of the propaganda machine.

[Micro2Macro]

Probably bollocks. Brexit was 5:1 at betfair before polls closed, Trump was also a long shot. It's all part of the propaganda machine.

If this is true we have a seriously +EV bet on our hands

[Savy]

Probably bollocks. Brexit was 5:1 at betfair before polls closed, Trump was also a long shot. It's all part of the propaganda machine.

lol because bookies want to lose money.

If this is true we have a seriously +EV bet on our hands

I'd say it's not all that likely that she wins, may still be +EV but we're definitely talking about her losing more often than winning. I just don't see why she would, if you look at the last round of voting you'd assume a lot of those votes transfer to the other guy running.

It's also not really an establishment vs anti-establishment thing either at this stage.

May be worth noting that Macron and the Frenchs views on things like labour may not add up so whereas Le Pen is definitely very protectionist heavy which may line up better.