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  1. #1
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    So if you're arguing in favor of consolidation, then you would agree that Trickle Down Economics was a lie..
    I'm not....and I don't.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    #2 was probably my worst worded paragraph.
    No, you're second attempt at it was your worst worded paragraph. Still not seeing your point. There was a revolt in El Salvador. Nice story.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    #3 Purchasing power increasing, over remaining stagnant would be good for Americans as a whole. We've tried 4 decades of stagnant wages for Americans
    Are you talking about purchasing power, or wages. Suppose a lawyer's salary earns him 3x the purchasing power of a truck driver. Why should that ever change? It would only change if the market demanded that truck driving require 8 years of higher education.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    #4 #'s of dollars wise yes, not % of GDP though.
    I don't see how that's possible. What numbers are you using? GDP growth is in the toilet, and Barry borrowed more than anyone ever.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Our economic mobility is vastly inferior to that of Western Europe.
    False. If you have numbers that can prove that, I suspect it's a symptom of having less income inequality. In other words, if the gap between rich and poor is really small, it's easier to move from one end of the scale to the other. In america, 2/3 of the bottom fifth of earners, move out of that quintile within a generation. And people at the top move down too, including 8 percent who fall from the top quintile all the way to the bottom.

    Congressional Budget Office reports that over the last 30 years, rich people's incomes grew 200 percent while poor people's income rose 50%. It's the growth that matters, not the disparity. Securities/Investments grow faster than wages. And that's ok. It's not hurting anybody. The rich are not getting rich at the expense of the poor.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    if he implements his tax plan, and we go from an annual deficit of $552 billion, back to well in the $trillions, that's going to communicate a message to the bond market.
    C'mon man, bond traders can read the paper. They know what's coming. The market hasn't tanked. Quite the opposite actually.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    I think I'm well within my right to believe, that tax cuts for very wealthy people and massive amounts of borrowing money to finance those tax cuts, can, and should be associated with credit downgrades for the states implementing them.
    You're well within your right to believe anything you want. That doesn't make it true though. I think you're being fairly glib with your assessment of why and how credit ratings get adusted. If a business borrows money to finance expansion that will turn into increased cash flow, hence paying off the debt....should their credit be downgraded? I would say no.

    On the other hand, what if the business borrowed money in order to give everyone raises, except for the executives. All the rank and file got a boost in their income. But there was no return for the business. Productivity didn't go up. Profits didn't increase (they decrease because expenses went up). And the business has no mechanism to pay back the debt....should their credit rating change? I would say yes.

    The former example is akin to cutting taxes for producers, encouraging them to produce more, create more jobs, and grow the economy. The latter example is akin to Obama's stimulus packages and tax cuts which actually resulted in millions of people leaving the workforce, wages remaining stale, and GDP circling the toilet.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I'm not....and I don't.


    No, you're second attempt at it was your worst worded paragraph. Still not seeing your point. There was a revolt in El Salvador. Nice story.


    Are you talking about purchasing power, or wages. Suppose a lawyer's salary earns him 3x the purchasing power of a truck driver. Why should that ever change? It would only change if the market demanded that truck driving require 8 years of higher education.


    I don't see how that's possible. What numbers are you using? GDP growth is in the toilet, and Barry borrowed more than anyone ever.


    False. If you have numbers that can prove that, I suspect it's a symptom of having less income inequality. In other words, if the gap between rich and poor is really small, it's easier to move from one end of the scale to the other. In america, 2/3 of the bottom fifth of earners, move out of that quintile within a generation. And people at the top move down too, including 8 percent who fall from the top quintile all the way to the bottom.

    Congressional Budget Office reports that over the last 30 years, rich people's incomes grew 200 percent while poor people's income rose 50%. It's the growth that matters, not the disparity. Securities/Investments grow faster than wages. And that's ok. It's not hurting anybody. The rich are not getting rich at the expense of the poor.


    C'mon man, bond traders can read the paper. They know what's coming. The market hasn't tanked. Quite the opposite actually.


    You're well within your right to believe anything you want. That doesn't make it true though. I think you're being fairly glib with your assessment of why and how credit ratings get adusted. If a business borrows money to finance expansion that will turn into increased cash flow, hence paying off the debt....should their credit be downgraded? I would say no.

    On the other hand, what if the business borrowed money in order to give everyone raises, except for the executives. All the rank and file got a boost in their income. But there was no return for the business. Productivity didn't go up. Profits didn't increase (they decrease because expenses went up). And the business has no mechanism to pay back the debt....should their credit rating change? I would say yes.

    The former example is akin to cutting taxes for producers, encouraging them to produce more, create more jobs, and grow the economy. The latter example is akin to Obama's stimulus packages and tax cuts which actually resulted in millions of people leaving the workforce, wages remaining stale, and GDP circling the toilet.

    Demand encourages people to produce more. Not their tax bill. This is why we don't see Ferrari Dealerships in Mogadishu even though the tax rate is really low, there's no demand for the product there since Somalia is one of the poorest countries in the world.


    We've already established that just over half of US workers make wages, at, near, or below the poverty level. I have gotten no inclinations from you that you are opposed to half of American workers making wages that are close to the poverty level, or well within the poverty level.

    Anyways, American are not happy with their poverty level wages. Like I said, why did Trump get elected? He got elected because he promised to bring back good paying jobs, right? I have yet to hear very many Trump people cite the huge tax cuts on billionaires as the main reasons they voted for him.

    I also, off topic, do not think kicking out Immigrants, so Americans can work in tobacco fields and slaughtering chickens was what they had in mind, unless Agriculture did a structural change in making these jobs from very low paying, to very high paying middle class jobs.

    The Americans want a return, of good paying, middle class jobs, and I do not think giving tax cuts, to the billionaires, is going to do that, unless you ENFORCE that they use their tax cut specifically to do that.

    If Trump passes $10 trillion in tax cuts (over the course of 10 years) mainly focused on billionaires, our deficit this year was $552 billion in 2016, do you foresee the deficit not changing much?
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 10:38 AM.
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Anyways, American are not happy with their poverty level wages. Like I said, why did Trump get elected? He got elected because he promised to bring back good paying jobs, right? I have yet to hear very many Trump people cite the huge tax cuts on billionaires as the main reasons they voted for him.
    Dude....where do you think jobs come from?

    Also, you've gotten exactly what you wanted for the last 8 years, and it went poorly. Obama extended the Bush tax cuts for everyone except those making over 400K/year. Those making over 400K saw their taxes go up. He also raised taxes on many industries related to healthcare in order to pay for Obamacare. Finally, he increased entitlement spending tremendously, effectively giving a raise to the working class.

    What was the result? People left teh workforce. Unemployment. Stale wages. GDP sucks. Massive government borrowing without an increase in production to pay for it.

    Hillary ran on a continuation of those policies and she got trounced by a guy that half the country believes is a misogynist, racist, criminal xenophobe.

    What will it take to convince you that tax & spend liberalism is a shitty way to run an economy?
    Last edited by BananaStand; 03-03-2017 at 10:51 AM.
  4. #4
    1945-1981 convinced me that it was a superior way to run an economy. In the 1950's we had tax rates of 91% on top marginal earned. CEO's didn't get 400x the pay of the average American worker. We had strong unions, we had lots of good paying jobs. In 1963 the largest employer was GM.


    Adjust for 2013 $'s and that's a low skill, GM job, that required maybe not even a high school education, got paid $50 an hour, with benefits.

    In 2013, the largest employer was Walmart. In 2013, the average part time employee at Walmart got paid $8.86 an hour. And we wonder, where our Middle class have gone in the past 50 years.

    I can say Obama though, my family's never been wealthier thanks to how he ran the economy. We have a lot of capital in the market. I hate to share my life story, because it comes off as bragging. My mom dabbled in the stock market for a few years, but never "fully" invested. When she retired in 2007, instead of taking larger payments as part of her retirement package, she took a lump sum, of I think it was tax free money since it was retirement related, and could only be used for investing. I'd have to ask her the details, but she doesn't like me disclosing financial details of our family.

    In fact her new nickname, over these past years, around the house is "Money Bags" and "The Witch of Wallstreet" because she's very frugal and for an ordinary person, did very good in the market.

    Finally in February of 2009, she pulled the trigger, and dumped a 6 figure sum of money into the market. She did this in part, because she believed Obama's economics were superior, and there's history to that, the market does do better under Democrats than Republicans. it's just a historical fact. March of 2009, the DOW hit a historical low, of around 6,800.

    Today, we still have our stock holdings, with trades along the way, and we've done quite well over these past 8 years. DOW is trading at 20,000, in besides the recent run up in the market under Trump, Obama damn near tripled the market. We didn't lift a finger beyond a few clicks of the mouse on the stock trading site. We didn't "work" for all that additional wealth. We just rode the roller coaster.

    When I was a kid we were middle to upper middle class, now I wouldn't be surprised if we're in the top 10% of Americans. But a lot of that had to do with the fact, that Americans have fallen behind in my lifetime, and now there's a wider gap between rich and poor, than ever within my lifetime, or my parents lifetimes.

    The problem with the market going up, is the lions share of stocks is owned by very wealthy people, so even when the market goes up, Main Street America sees little benefit from it.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 11:37 AM.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    1945-1981 convinced me that it was a superior way to run an economy.
    Huh? You know things got so bad by the end of that period that we were rationing gas.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    I can say Obama though, my family's never been wealthier thanks to how he ran the economy.
    So your mom bought low and sold high. Well played. I don't see how you can credit Obama for that though. The only reason the market was so low was because of a banking bubble that burst. Back in the 90's, democrats under Clinton decided that home ownership was a "right". And he implemented new regulations (or de-regulations, depending on how you look at it), that forced banks to make loans to people who were not creditworthy. In other words, Clinton forced the people at the top, to loan money to people at the bottom. Banks weren't allowed to discriminate based on someone's ability to pay, because that disproportionately affected poor people. And by poor people, we really mean black people. So the "racist" banks now had to be "inclusive" with their lending policies.

    Poor people, who couldn't pay their bills, didn't do much better when you gave them more bills to pay. And the bubble burst.

    Also, once Obama had the election sewn up (McCain was out of it long before November), investors saw tax hikes and government regulations on the horizon, and that triggered a sell off. It's no coincidence that the opposite happened when the market foresaw tax cuts and deregulation after a Trump win.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    The problem with the market going up, is the lions share of stocks is owned by very wealthy people, so even when the market goes up, Main Street America sees little benefit from it.
    False, the money still moves through the economy. You're right that securities increase faster than wages, and that disproportionally affects those who hold securities. Fine, if you don't like it, buy stock. But you're argument seems rooted in the premise that rich people just keep their money stuffed in a mattress doing nothing. Their money is out there, working, and fueling economic growth.
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Huh? You know things got so bad by the end of that period that we were rationing gas.


    So your mom bought low and sold high. Well played. I don't see how you can credit Obama for that though. The only reason the market was so low was because of a banking bubble that burst. Back in the 90's, democrats under Clinton decided that home ownership was a "right". And he implemented new regulations (or de-regulations, depending on how you look at it), that forced banks to make loans to people who were not creditworthy. In other words, Clinton forced the people at the top, to loan money to people at the bottom. Banks weren't allowed to discriminate based on someone's ability to pay, because that disproportionately affected poor people. And by poor people, we really mean black people. So the "racist" banks now had to be "inclusive" with their lending policies.

    Poor people, who couldn't pay their bills, didn't do much better when you gave them more bills to pay. And the bubble burst.

    Also, once Obama had the election sewn up (McCain was out of it long before November), investors saw tax hikes and government regulations on the horizon, and that triggered a sell off. It's no coincidence that the opposite happened when the market foresaw tax cuts and deregulation after a Trump win.


    False, the money still moves through the economy. You're right that securities increase faster than wages, and that disproportionally affects those who hold securities. Fine, if you don't like it, buy stock. But you're argument seems rooted in the premise that rich people just keep their money stuffed in a mattress doing nothing. Their money is out there, working, and fueling economic growth.
    In 1945, our debt/gdp % was 120%. By 1981, it was 32%. By 2017, our debt-gdp it was back over 100% (I believe, do fact check me). I think we can both agree, that something changed dramatically in the US's timeline, to go from paying off the WWII debt, to getting our debt levels back up to close to what they had been in 1945.

    Despite the higher taxes of the era, we had a much more robust economy for the average citizen, a more powerful country, we pretty much annually balanced the budget. Except for a slight increase in debt under the Nixon/Ford term of 0.2%, between FDR/Truman's term from 45-49 and Carter's final year in office, every post WWII President of that era balanced the budget and helped pay down the WWII debt, and American's wages rose, when productivity and GDP per Capita went up, unlike what's been going on ever since 1981.

    1981-2017 is when Reaganomics got ushered in, and is still fiscal/economic policy, of Republicans to this day.

    The wealthy got a lot wealthier, but wages stagnated, we had the worst economic crisis in 80 years, we had a bad recession also in the 80's as well and a weak recovery. American manufacturing jobs were shipped overseas, and now due to automation aren't coming back.

    The repeal of the Glass-Steagal, as part of Republican doctrine on supporting all forms of deregulation, while signed off by Neoliberal Bill Clinton, was authored by 3 Republican Senators, and supported by the Republican majority of the time period.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gramm%...0%93Bliley_Act

    Besides Clinton, the Republicans wanted to repeal this act, that was made in response to massive bank failures of 30's. Within 10 years of it's repeal, what happened? Massive bank failures of 2000's. That is no mere coincidence.

    Also NAFTA, again Bill Clinton ditched what liberals wanted, it was the Republican party and Centrist Democrats, who largely supported NAFTA, and Bill went with them, now deemed a very bad trade deal for America. Up until Trump, Republicans always supported free trade, even if it meant the gutting of manufacturing jobs and union jobs in this country.

    "In the House, NAFTA passed 234-200; 132 Republicans and 102 Democrats voted in favor of it. The Senate approved NAFTA 61-38, with the backing of 34 Republicans and 27 Democrats."

    We've only balanced the budget 4x, in the last 36 years. That's a horrible track record, especially when juxtaposed to the time period of 1945-1981.

    If wealthy people getting wealthier, made everyone else wealthier, we wouldn't have 51% of US workers making a wage that leaves them in poverty or close to it at a time when the wealthy are the wealthiest they've been in roughly 90 years.

    By all means, I've lost, I have fuckin' lost. I mean believe me man, your economics has won, over the past 36 years. Trump, I assume, nothings happened so far, is going to pass further tax cuts on the wealthy, and we'll see how that plays out. Reagan he had an ok economy, but he increased the debt by 200% (#'s of dollars wise, not % of GDP) from what it was to achieve what he did. Then the Savings and Loans Crisis hit.

    Clinton put in a large tax increase on wealthy households in 1993. You can credit a good economy, and lower gas prices as well, but the fact remains that for 4 years out of Clinton's 8, the large tax increase that happened in his 1st year in office, was soon followed by the only stretch of time that we balanced the budget in the last 36 years. GWB got in, he passed 2 large tax cuts, and 2 big wars with no War tax to pay for them. America USE to finance it's wars, now we borrow money to finance our wars. And we haven't balanced a single budget since GWB's first year in office.

    Obama has not put in a large tax increase on the wealthy, except a 4% or so increase on households pulling in incomes over $450,000, and this was to pay for the ACA. And we've had an economic expansion creating over 10 million jobs over the past 8 years, and he lowered the deficit from the $1.6 trillion all time high of 2009, down to $552 billion today, a 66% decrease. I'm covered under the ACA. If the ACA gets repealed, what am I gonna do? I don't know, looks like my family will have to shovel more money to the Pharmaceutical industry and Healthcare industry for me to gain coverage again.

    That might be good for the CEO's who run the health insurance and pharmaceutical industry, but it won't be good for me as a citizen.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 02:28 PM.
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    In 1945, our debt/gdp % was.......
    You keep repeating yourself man. And it's not really even relevant. The economy in 1945 was a completely different animal than it is now. You really can't be making these comparisons.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Despite the higher taxes of the era, we had a much more robust economy for the average citizen, a more powerful country, we pretty much annually balanced the budget
    You keep talking about a balanced budget. Sure, it sounds good, but it doesn't necessarily help poor people.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    productivity and GDP per Capita went up, unlike what's been going on ever since 1981.
    False. GDP per capita has been going up, consistently, for over 60 years now.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    If wealthy people getting wealthier, made everyone else wealthier, we wouldn't have 51% of US workers making a wage that leaves them in poverty
    It DOES make everyone else wealthier. Household income is up. Alot.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Househ..._thru_2014.png

    See those two huge dips in the early 90's and middle 2000's. Coincidentally, those were the periods where were were ruled by tax & spend democrats!

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Obama has not put in a large tax increase on the wealthy,
    Dude....c'mon. You can't say Bush passed large tax cuts on the wealth, and then say that discontinuing those tax cuts (which obama did) isn't a "large tax increase". When you pass a tax cut, and then repeal it, the effects are opposite....but EQUAL. If Obama didn't pass a "large tax increase", then Bush didn't pass a "large tax cut". You can't have it both ways.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    If the ACA gets repealed, what am I gonna do?
    Get a job!

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    I don't know, looks like my family will have to shovel more money to the Pharmaceutical industry and Healthcare industry for me to gain coverage again.
    What the F man? A few posts ago your family was among the top 10% wealthiest in the country. Now you're complaining about not getting enough government subsidies? Isn't your family the exact people you want to pay more??

    I get it now. You only support policies that you perceive as hurtful to people you perceive as having more than you do.

    Jealousy is NOT an economic policy

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