**** Elections thread *****

[Savy]

In addition, Washington is really white, and if Trump performs as well with whites as I think he will, it makes Washington a toss up.

If you're going to slag off polls for their poor use of statistics you shouldn't be making the same mistakes. Either that or you're trying to rig the FTR media and convince people Trump is doing better than he actually is.

[Poopadoop]

Either that or you're trying to rig the FTR media and convince people Trump is doing better than he actually is.

I lol'd.

[wufwugy]

If you're going to slag off polls for their poor use of statistics you shouldn't be making the same mistakes. Either that or you're trying to rig the FTR media and convince people Trump is doing better than he actually is.

How's that?

[Savy]

How's that?

Assuming that white male voting patterns apply equally to all areas is completely false. Especially with statistics you've made up.

[wufwugy]

Assuming that white male voting patterns apply equally to all areas is completely false. Especially with statistics you've made up.

Yes it is. This is the reason why I haven't put Oregon in my red column already. If white turnout is what I think it will be and so across the board, Oregon would not be tossup but red. But it is unlikely to be the same across the board. I am just not sure how different it will be.

[Savy]

Yes it is. This is the reason why I haven't put Oregon in my red column already. If white turnout is what I think it will be and so across the board, Oregon would not be tossup but red. But it is unlikely to be the same across the board. I am just not sure how different it will be.

That's why people who publish statistical data make the effort to go into exactly how they got the figures they got and the assumptions they have made. Apparently making shit up can't be taken apart so well because people never state in detail how they got their figures. One of these is clearly bias bullshit the other isn't yet people view it the other way round.

You seem to be making a lot of false assumptions about things but then underplaying how important that is and why everything you predict using inductive reasoning is much shakier and made up than all the other data that you spend time trying to discredit. Another example of this is when your post saying you are going to extrapolate data which you say yourself is wrong but then conclude other things based on that. It's nonsense.