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 Originally Posted by wufwugy
What economists should instead do on the minimum wage (most of them do this fwiw, just not all) is point out that the law of demand and not-exactly-a-law of supply are theory as rock solid as theories get, and it is in a very simple deduction from them that an increase in the minimum wage is expected to decrease the demand for labor and/or increase the price of goods/services. Econometricians have a hard time showing this happen but that's because econometrics doesn't have the tools to show it happen in the first place.
It's exactly stuff like this which makes me skeptical about economics.
You say that supply and demand is as rock solid as economic theory gets, but then you say that it can't be shown to even happen in the first place on the example of minimum wage. Minimum wage is not a new issue, has changed many times in the past, and the idea that economists can't show that this plan is antithetical to positive economic growth tells me that they don't have anything from reality to affirm their position.
It sounds like a frat house echo chamber of people who have said things which "seem right" to each other enough that everyone now thinks it's a sign of mental deficiency to not say the thing is right. However, any truly rigorous analysis shows that this level of certainty is unjustified in the light of human complexity.
So the dissonance I find is that on the one hand, you put forth your economic ideas as though they are undisputed laws, when the reality is that that they are guesses at guidelines.
Which is fine, I guess, but I can't take you seriously when you tell people who disagree with you that they are wrong. If you can't demonstrate to another economist who wants to agree with you that the thing you mention is real, then how can you hope to convince people who think your ideas "seem" wrong?
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