I'm not sure that Trump's 180 turn away from his bombastic style will help him. It lets policy take a more central role, which makes him look worse since he's outmatched on policy.
It looks like Trump is banking on the RNC backing him in a contested convention. McConnell is going in his direction. I don't think it will work though. I see Cruz winning outright or having the delegate lead going into the convention then lots of Rubio and Trump delegates moving to Cruz instead of Trump delegates staying on Trump and taking the additional RNC delegates. This is why delegate selection is so important.
There's a rumor that Rubio intends to drop out after Florida even if he wins. He's pulled out of Cruz's territory and Cruz has pulled out of Florida. Bush's brother endorsed Cruz and Jeb met with them a couple days ago. This could be the case that Rubio thinks he can keep the 99 delegates out of Trump's hands, select them wisely, then they will switch to Cruz in case of a contested convention. At least this is the way it should go, as Rubio and Cruz are about 100x more alike than Rubio and McConnell or Rubio and Trump.
Reply With Quote
Originally Posted by wufwugy
