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 Originally Posted by wufwugy
It's not speculation. The theory is beyond solid. It's theory of evolution level solid. It's made solid by the arithmetic alone, not to mention additional elements.
The studies on it have been laughably bad, which is why they have resulted in no conclusion. Designing a quality study of minimum wage would be unbearably hard. But it doesn't matter since the theory is directly emergent from the math of the laws of supply and demand, which has been demonstrated correct countless times.
FYI even the Seattle thing isn't a test. There are sooooooooooooooooo many confounding factors. Just once I wish a city would put minimum wage to the actual test. They could do it by declaring a $50 minimum wage for all businesses immediately. That would be enough to mitigate the confounding factors. And then we'd watch real-time as econometrics show their snarling teeth.
But there is no data supporting it, isn't that right? Evolution theory had the data, it's no where near the same. You can kill 100 cockroaches and literally watch evolution in action.
All you got is what economists think will happen. But there isndisagreement, and there is enough disagreement that states are willing to risk their prosperity to test it.
A question I have for you though is this. If the factors behind what's happening in Seattle and so many other cities are complex and difficult to fully grasp...how is the anti min wage theory so perfectly accounting for them all? As a chemist and mathematician, I've used equations with multiple inputs before. It's very difficult to track what happens and figure it all out. But I also know that real life has a way of fucking with out theoretical assumptions.
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