Polygamist Werewolf

[gabe]

gabe, how is this not hitting the right note with you?

pick their targets? it doesnt matter what the wolves do if we can find the highest ev pairs to vote for. thats what youre missing

[GatorJH]

pick their targets? it doesnt matter what the wolves do if we can find the highest ev pairs to vote for. thats what youre missing

EV is also opinion based by player. You may think I am 40% wolf and wuf is 55% wolf, however I may have wuf at 20%. Who's wolfmeter do you use in determining which pair has the most +ev?

I tend to fall quite heavily with Ong on this one and can't shake the feeling that the wolves want to out for some reason we haven't discovered yet.

Keeping my vote on you for now.

[gabe]

I tend to fall quite heavily with Ong on this one and can't shake the feeling that the wolves want to out for some reason we haven't discovered yet.

its impossible for it to be something we havent discovered yet. what does this even mean

i agree everyone's wolfimeter is different but thats why we discuss who we vote for and compare our wolfimeter ratings. knowing the pairs before the final vote tally (do you agree with this?) will help us deciding what the best pair to kill is

[OngBonga]

...will help us deciding what the best pair to kill is

Yes but gabe, I'm deeply concerned about who you refer to here when you say "us".

Because I feel this applies to the wolves more than the village.

[GatorJH]

its impossible for it to be something we havent discovered yet. what does this even mean

i agree everyone's wolfimeter is different but thats why we discuss who we vote for and compare our wolfimeter ratings. knowing the pairs before the final vote tally (do you agree with this?) will help us deciding what the best pair to kill is

Let's say I have Ong, Aubrey, wuf and Hoopy as likely villagers right now (not saying I do just using them as an example). If I find out Ong and Aubrey are linked but wuf is linked to rilla and Hoopy is linked to Gabe what do I do with that info? Does it make it less likely wuf and Hoopy are villagers or more likely rilla and Gabe are villagers?

[gabe]

Let's say I have Ong, Aubrey, wuf and Hoopy as likely villagers right now (not saying I do just using them as an example). If I find out Ong and Aubrey are linked but wuf is linked to rilla and Hoopy is linked to Gabe what do I do with that info? Does it make it less likely wuf and Hoopy are villagers or more likely rilla and Gabe are villagers?

i think this example does a good job of illustrating my point

in the example, you would definitely not vote for ong/aubrey pair. even if ong, aubrey, wuf and hoopy all had the same chances of being a villager, you would know that the ong/aubrey pair has a less likely chance than a wuf/hoopy pair (in the example). this would gain you EV by knowing who was paired with who

outing helps the village make a more educated lynch

[Hoopy]

Can we get a votecount JKDS?

Keeping my vote on you for now.

It kind of worries me that you're voting gabe right now.

[OngBonga]

pick their targets? it doesnt matter what the wolves do if we can find the highest ev pairs to vote for. thats what youre missing

Yes, pick their targets. It's much easier for them if they can find a pair of villagers who can be presented as both wolfy. Right now, they're having to pick one target, while not being sure if the buddy is one of their stated village reads.

It's harder for the wolves to push for a mislynch today if they don't have all the info. What we gain from outing is speculative at best. I mean we might allow the wolves to get a mislynch they wouldn't have otherwise got.

I would imagine whoever is close to lynch will out their buddies. We probably will have all the info by accident before the day is out. But I don't think we should force the issue, because that helps the wolves more than us, imo.

If you disagree, fine. But disagreement isn't alignment indicative. My reasons for preferring to wait are clear, it's not like I'm being cagey about it.