May 2015 Werewolf Gameplay Thread

[a500lbgorilla]

Well, gabe, you and I aren't looking at the same game.

{a500lbgorilla, BankItDrew, baudib, BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew, baudib, BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,gabe,JKDS,Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
Leap of faith
{gabe,Luco, OngBonga}

[lilrascal]

Well, gabe, you and I aren't looking at the same game.

{a500lbgorilla, BankItDrew, baudib, BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew, baudib, BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,gabe,JKDS,Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
Leap of faith
{gabe,Luco, OngBonga}

If I'm reading this correcty, the bottom three in this list of {gabe,Luco, OngBonga} are your top wolf candidates.

[wufwugy]

why would you ponder if anyone is interested? havent in the past you just assumed people would find it useful, so you did it anyway? but now you are making a point to have everyone notice how you do this helpful village activity of posting graphs

lilrascal is legit wolfy already

Rascal-Rilla easy read as V-V so far

Gabe is a wolf. Easy game.

im a villager because i wouldnt fake a post like that to start the game. its just not worth it.

this is the earliest ive ever been cleared. so also this is the earlier im going to ask the angel to look out for me. flip a coin and protect me if its heads so the wolves wont know

lynch rascal

That's actually reasonable.

I don't like Rascal as a wolf though.

This is what I was referring to yesterday.

No, it isn't reasonable. I can't even tell what Gabe thinks he did that he claimed clears himself (because he said somebody's wolfy???). Nobody gets to clear themselves on post #1, him pointing it out nullifies it anyways. I have no idea what Gabe is talking about.

After I pointed this out yesterday, here comes Baud

Wuf might actually be a wolf

Gabe is >> rand to be a villager and Wuf is > rand to be a wolf.


rilla isn't even serious about thinking Gabe is a wolf, it's just part of some sort of "if Gabe is alive, lunch him" policy.

I thought Gabe's open and attack on Rascal was wolfy based on history/meta. But I've reconsidered and I think his explanation makes sense, he's more in wolf-hunting mode. Also he's talked about optimal villager strat in a way that I think would be -EV to do as a wolf...wifom and all, it would be very clever to do this as a wolf but still overall -EV.

I think Gabe's a villager.

Rilla is baiting/tarping people ... I don't think he actually thinks Gabe is a wolf.

But Wuf seized on it and looks extremely opportunistic.

This is what a wolf does:





This is Wuf seizing on a dream scenario of lynching Gabe D1. He talks about Gabe and then lynches him without even giving a reason for lynching him.

Rilla never explained his bold for Gabe. Baud claims he thinks Rilla's bold was not serious. I explained my bold for Gabe, and Baud thinks I'm being opportunistic and ignores that I gave reason. If he thinks a lack of a reason for a bold is good to use on me, then he would also think that for Rilla, but he doesn't. He thinks Rilla is a villager because he assumes his lack of knowledge of Rilla's play is good enough to use a simplistic heuristic to evaluate Rilla.

So here we have Gabe saying things that make no sense, then Baud backing him up. Then when I point that out, Baud thinks I'm a wolf, for a reason that contradicts his view that Rilla is not a wolf in the same situation.

how has wuf not hopped in the mix yet? him not posting when there is a good amount of fodder to chew on is not normal. i am very suspicious of him. in fact, i think its so out of character that the entire village will realize this, and i'd bet he is more likely than anyone else to be lynched today

My hours are different than everybody else. I'm always gone for 16-20 hour stretches. I would expect you to know this since I have stated it many times.


I think I'm sticking with Gabe because I think his first two posts are precisely what wolfgabe would love to do. I think Baud is a good wolf candidate, but I also think he runs with things too quickly, so as a villager he ends up saying all sorts of head-scratchers.