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  1. #1
    MMM...it's a huge leap of faith for the W's to drop 2 then, short handed, expect to take out monsters like Keith, Gabe, JKDS, Luco. Sure, they've dropped those dudes but no way they go all in with that hand on d1.
  2. #2
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keybored View Post
    MMM...it's a huge leap of faith for the W's to drop 2 then, short handed, expect to take out monsters like Keith, Gabe, JKDS, Luco. Sure, they've dropped those dudes but no way they go all in with that hand on d1.
    If the thread is any indication, no one had a solid understanding of the mechanics in the early part of day 1.

    You're right, it doesn't make sense to have been the plan for all of day 1. It seems to me that none of rilla's posts look villagery. So the wolf decision to take the gambit of killing the 2nd wolf may not have been made early day 1. It could have been something the wolves gradually latched on to as the baud wagon seemed to be gaining momentum, and the game mechanics were coming to be more understood.

    The result of the 2 dead wolves:
    Keith and Daven are nommed without contest.
    BONUS:
    Gabe is assumed to be dead by day 3 or 4 (latest).
    Ong/JKDS were in the heat of it and it looks like at least 1 of them has to go.

    If both JKDS/ong are villagers, then the wolves can be fairly assured that they can kill off 1 if not both of them with lynches.

    :/

    That basically clears ong in the baud exchange, because ong shined the light on the information that keith and daven used for their arguments.
    Double shit.
    If the wolves want to drop rilla, then why is ong so hard on JKDS, and why is ong so late to swing back to rilla?

    Ongville making sense in early game.

    Wait... By this theory... ong is cleared.

    Shit.
    If ong is a wolf, his initial argument against baud would have lacked teeth. It would have been something weak that he could point back to as, "I wasn't sure, but now I'm sure". It wouldn't be something that keith and daven can nuke.

    ***
    OK. I need to do another full read.

    Holes in this post?

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