Hand Analysis

[griffey24]

On the river it should be, his bet needs to work 48/(48+51) = 48.4%, so you need to continue with 51.5%.

If we're adjusting our call down ranges, based on villains cbet tendencies, this is fine but we're obviously exploiting villain in this case and not trying to play GTO.

[The Bean Counter]

If we're adjusting our call down ranges, based on villains cbet tendencies, this is fine but we're obviously exploiting villain in this case and not trying to play GTO.

This makes sense. I was wondering if we could combine the two as a rule of thumb though e.g.

- Let's say we flat 100 combos
- Villain cbets half pot, so GTO would tell us to defend 67%
- But we estimate villain will only cbet 50% of the time on a given flop texture

Could we then crudely use:

100*67%*50% = 33 combos

as a rough guide for our defence?

Obviously the assumption about cbetting frequency is pretty unreliable..