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 Originally Posted by surviva316
If it makes you feel any better, those don't exist. Every team should have a Game Manager--like a love baby of Joe Maddon and Nate Silver type mind--on their sidelines. I've long since realized that the pace of the NFL doesn't allow for this person to give input on every single play, but teams could at least get the big things right.
There are coaches like that that do exist, but based on the play on the field, none of them are currently head coaches in the NFL.
If an NFL coach made game theory perfect decisions every time, 99% of football fans would think he is crazy. Coaches have been so overly conservative for so long that it is just kind of ingrained into football culture, and that's not even getting into adjusting for improving offenses and passing games, which increase the value of a possession and increase the chance of a conversion.
I do think Chud is the best in the NFL in these spots or at least one of the best. You could make a strong case that he at least gets the big things right. You could also make a case that maybe going for it every single time that you are supposed to go for it, based on the math, might not be the best play either (for example, the other team might adjust and start taking at least the low hanging fruit themselves.)
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