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OP - do you have any stats on villain?
 Originally Posted by abelardx
Bet/gii otf and bet/gii on the turn. If he has JT and we don't redraw that's too bad. But we're flipping against AK otf and flipping against a combined range of AK/JT ott. So there's really no getting away from it.
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 9h7hAs8d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 48.30% 48.30% 0.00% { Ah8h }
MP3 51.70% 51.70% 0.00% { AKs, JTs, AKo, JTo }
If he has AK here, he probably also has JJ-KK here. If he has JTs here, he probably also has 9Ts. JJ-KK,9Ts etc are probably not getting it in on the flop, but are often calling a flop bet, esp a small one.
Originally Posted by ImSavy
Can you explain to me what that bet sizing is about?
I'd be 4betting bigger personally, I don't dislike x/c flop. I think I like x/shove turn. If he is more on the passive side though I see no harm in donking the turn and GII.
The pot is $4.75 and we have around $17ish behind. We can easily bet something like $1.25, $5, shove river.
Also it's the type of board where we're very polarized to air or nuts when betting. If we bet $1.25-1.75ish as a bluff here, it only has to work like 25%ish of the time.
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