Operation Hot Stove

[Savy]

Also why is hand 1 an example of TP being better than a fishes all in range and hand 2 is an example of baluga theorem?

You're missing out on loads of value by betting half pot when cbetting too. Go look up inelastic ranges and be aware that against villains who aren't that capable we can vary our bet sizes for exploitation.

[abelardx]

Also why is hand 1 an example of TP being better than a fishes all in range and hand 2 is an example of baluga theorem?

You're missing out on loads of value by betting half pot when cbetting too. Go look up inelastic ranges and be aware that against villains who aren't that capable we can vary our bet sizes for exploitation.

In hand 1 i did have top pair but not tptk. When villain jams over the cbet with worse I think that's an example of point 1. As for the cbet I bet small because I knew I'd go all the way and his stack was so small, I could start small and still get his stack.

Same reasoning for the cbet size in hand 2. I was kind of thinking of griffey's suggestion of small flop bet, medium turn bet, and river shove. Maybe that's only for 3bet pots tho.

Hand 2 is an example of Baluga's Theorem because I got raised on the turn and my overpair was crushed. Isn't that Baluga's Theorem, one pair no good when raised on the turn?

[abelardx]

Oh I see. Hand 1 is defo not an example of 'bet til raised' but it is an example of how fish will often go all the way with less than tptk. That's what I meant anyway.

[abelardx]

OK this is operation hot stove so let's fire up the stove and do hand 1.

Villain posted preflop so their range is any two.

What are the pot odds?

0.54 + 0.27 + 1.38 / 1.11 = 2.19 / 1.11 = 1.98, basically 2:1. So we need roughly 33%.

Possible ranges for shorty flop shove:

1. any pair or 8 outs or better

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 2d5hKs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 74.04% 72.75% 1.29% { KcTs }
MP3 25.96% 24.67% 1.29% { 22+, AKs, A5s, A2s, K2s+, Q5s, Q2s, J5s, J2s, T5s, T2s, 95s, 92s, 85s, 82s, 75s, 72s, 65s, 62s, 52s, 42s+, 32s, AKo, A4o, A2o, K2o+, Q4o, Q2o, J4o, J2o, T4o, T2o, 94o, 92o, 84o, 82o, 74o, 72o, 64o, 62o, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }

We are crushing.

2. top pair, pocket pair above 2nd pair, 8 outs, or better

This is actually what I believe villain's range is here for these shorty flop shoves.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 2d5hKs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 58.42% 55.10% 3.33% { KcTs }
MP3 41.58% 38.25% 3.33% { 55+, 22, AKs, K2s+, 52s, 43s, AKo, K2o+, 52o, 43o }

Still ahead and far ahead of the equity needed to call. So a profitable situation.

[daven]

You're missing out on loads of value by betting half pot when cbetting too. Go look up inelastic ranges and be aware that against villains who aren't that capable we can vary our bet sizes for exploitation.

^ listen to this advice

[abelardx]

Now I'm not so sure about watching videos. Trying to adjust like BalugaWhale had me playing like a total idiot. Maybe that's the 'conscious incompetence' phase.