TPTK on monoflop

[rpm]

could probably 3bet this pre for value, no? i'd rather lead this flop than check, but as played i guess i C/C

edit: just read the thread and noticed you had reasons for not 3betting. i still think we probably actually could 3b for value but you'd know how the games play better than i do

[BorisTheSpider]

i still think we probably actually could 3b for value but you'd know how the games play better than i do

I think you're probably right that I could 3bet it. I do think it's a little marginal, but as d0zer pointed out people also call so much wider when everyone involved is LP.

[Pelion]

Easy 3bet pre for value and because our hand is going to play horribly 3-way OOP. You have 60 hands on fish. How many of those do you think he was faced with calling a 3bet preflop. What confidence can you give for his fold to 3bet being higher than 65%?

(It would actually be a good idea to go away and work out how many hands he has raised preflop/ how many of those you think he has faced a 3bet / how many of those you think he has folded - this shouldn't take more than 5 minutes and will give you an idea of how long some of these stats take to converge)

Whether or not you donk the flop entirely depends on how often you think the PFR will cbet. Far too many players at this level cbet close to 100%, in which case c/c is better. If he has a high cbet, he probably checks the turn a lot though so I agree that donking lots of turns is probably the way to go.