set mono board facing 1/4 psb

[MadMojoMonkey]

you always have your 20% to outdraw a flopped flush.

That's too low.

When you flop a set, you have 7 outs (7/47 = 14.9%) to improve OTT and 10 outs (10/46 = 21.7%) to improve OTR.
Combining these chances, you have ( 1 - (40/47)(36/46) = ) 33.4% chance of improving to a boat or quads when you have 3-of-a-kind OTF.

[jackvance]

That's too low.

When you flop a set, you have 7 outs (7/47 = 14.9%) to improve OTT and 10 outs (10/46 = 21.7%) to improve OTR.
Combining these chances, you have ( 1 - (40/47)(36/46) = ) 33.4% chance of improving to a boat or quads when you have 3-of-a-kind OTF.

You are right, I don't know how I ended up getting a wrong number stuck in my head. Thanks.

[Fnord]

Re-raise the flop.

Given the effective stack size, I'm cool with getting it in here.