i've been thinking about this hand a bunch. Flop play that is. Turn is an incredibly standard fold as played
Quote Originally Posted by xptboy View Post
MP shows T A (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 32%, Flop 38%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows A J (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 68%, Flop 62%, Turn 0%)
MP wins $31.23
Quote Originally Posted by daven View Post
i like calling flop to your five outs
lol i was pretty wrong on that one. What's his call pre, donk flop range though? some nut flush draws, some TT+, some weird combos?

i still like calling flop cos you then get a pretty easy turn decision with a bunch of chips left behind rather than ending up with less than pot behind. If you're raising the flop it's for value vs the part of his range that you're ahead of (he is never folding hands that beat AJ) so you have to raise enough not to give him direct pot-odds to call with flush draws. With the sizing you chose he had to call 2.80 into 12 which means he is getting close to direct pot odds to call with his flush draws (either 9 or 12 outs)