77 BU vs BB - to barrel river or not to barrel river

[deadstraddl3]

@Rav I would think if he were in bet/fold mode he would be betting larger on this type of board to get the most from draws that he has equity against, for example I would expect 88-AA to bet pretty big on the flop and not continue that often facing that action at these stakes

my value range here would be 78, 44, 55, 66, 74dd 89dd

i dont think i would be check raising the overs+FD combos on this type of board that often simply so i dont valuetown myself when an offsuit king rolls off, especially against regs who love bluffing overcards.

its hard to say that he would think that way about how many flushes im going to have on the turn, but if that were the case im certainly representing a thinner value range than i thought when i was in the hand

[Razvan729]

@Rav I would think if he were in bet/fold mode he would be betting larger on this type of board to get the most from draws that he has equity against, for example I would expect 88-AA to bet pretty big on the flop and not continue that often facing that action at these stakes

how much more can he bet w/ 88-AA like you say? he bet 0.99 in 1.18, that seems pretty big to me.
if you expect 88-AA to b/f flop more often then b/c then why donk turn ? if he folds overpair like you expect then b/c range is left w/ FD and some 7x, donking turn in that range is bad in my opinion cause we're often behind w/ no FE .

your repping , like you said a thin range and also like you said he knows you and is aware you dont c/r over+FD that often and has a good ideea about your flop value c/r range so when he calls flop he thinks he has good equity v your range and will get paid when he hits ( you wrote : "we perceive each other as solid thinking players.")

a diamond in my opinion is the worst bluffing card v him given the reads you have on each other and the way flop was played.

a solid player knows his solid opponent bluffing range in a spot is wide enough for his opponent to make a +EV bet but tight enough to make him -EV when calling. so i doubt betting turn is +EV if the reads you have are accurate.