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 Originally Posted by scott_owen
- Opponents range is equal or ahead of us, so we must fold to c-bets on missed flops.
- Opponents range is equal or ahead of us, so we are only ever looking to play a small pot even on flops we hit.
- Because we are in MP we may see more callers behind leaving us without iniative and out of position in a multiway pot, further weakening the relative hand strength of our TPTK.
- Better to get out preflop without putting any chips in, than face an awkward situation, as there are plenty of other opportunities to profit in this game.
(1) Opponents range is equal or ahead of us is likely untrue. A relatively
'standard' range of {66+,AQ+} leaves us with 48% equity. It's absolutely reasonable to assume villains are opening wider than that. Sometimes opening KQs, AJ, suited connectors, all pairs, etc. But yes, it is dependent on the villain (obviously). But without reads, I would assume AK is ahead of their range.
Also, if it's true that our hand is equal or behind his range, that isn't all that has to be considered. Given we will be acting in position, this increases the value of our hand, while reducing the value of his. We can stand a bit of reduced equity if we are IP. The same goes for if we feel we are more skilled than villain and less likely to make postflop mistakes.
(2) Also not true. On a lot of flops we do hit, he will have a good portion of second best hands. AK on a Kxx flop, he could have numerous worse pocket pairs that pay off 1-2 (or more if he's bad) streets, as well as any KQ hands he has. Same for Axx flops where he has AQ in his range.
(3) What about the times our call invites fish into the pot that increases the value of our top pair hands, since we can valuebet them relentlessly? What about the times our call invites light squeezes? Or the times our calls invite calls from players with dominated holdings (KJ/KQ/AJ/AT/AQ/KT/etc)?
(4) You are going to inevitably face awkward situations in poker. If they are profitable, you shouldn't be looking to avoid them, but understand them. If they are profitable, you should be willing to take the awkward spot, both because it makes you money and because you will become better for it.
He did say that he was playing an exclusively 2NL full ring strategy that would not work at any higher level and was for total beginners.
What makes 2nl different from other levels? It's that the player pool is on average worse, and more prone to making mistakes. If anything against an unknown this should lead to a competent hero playing a wider range of hands given his skill advantage is much more prominent.
any other game I'd probably advocate for reraising AK
In other games, it is entirely possible that the villain is less likely to make a mistake. Either less likely to play badly against hero's 3betting range, or less likely to play badly postflop should hero call. The worse, and more erratic/bad, the villains are the more inclined you should be to enter pots with them (as often as possible). As they are going to lose their money at some point, and you want as many opportunities for it to be you as possible.
being nitty seems like it can profit at 2NL.
Certainly it will be profitable. Because the villains will be too bad to realize our ranges are as tight as they are, and still make loads of mistakes. But it isn't just about profitability, it's about being as profitable as possible. We shouldn't look to fold AK here if it's profitable to play, simply because our AA/KK will be profitable in this spot.
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