Odds of flopping an overpair or better with a PP

Originally Posted by Zorkion

Poker probability (Texas hold 'em) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is not the same calculation I made. This article only calculates the probability that no overcards to your pocket pair will be on the flop, not taking into account the fact that sometimes overcards will come AND you will make your set, which is actually great for you.

For example, for JJ, the article states that no overcards to JJ will be on the flop 43% of the time, meaning that overcards to JJ will be on the flop 57% of the time. This would lead you to think that 57% of the time the flop is in disfavor of your JJ, which is not the case because this 57% of flops includes for example AJ5 or AJJ which are great for you.

10-19-2010 06:41 AM #1
Zorkion View Profile View Forum Posts Private Message View Blog Entries Join Date Aug 2010 Posts 354	Poker probability (Texas hold 'em) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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10-19-2010 07:54 AM #2
daviddem View Profile View Forum Posts Private Message View Blog Entries Join Date Aug 2009 Posts 1,505 Location Philippines/Saudi Arabia	Originally Posted by Zorkion Poker probability (Texas hold 'em) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia This is not the same calculation I made. This article only calculates the probability that no overcards to your pocket pair will be on the flop, not taking into account the fact that sometimes overcards will come AND you will make your set, which is actually great for you. For example, for JJ, the article states that no overcards to JJ will be on the flop 43% of the time, meaning that overcards to JJ will be on the flop 57% of the time. This would lead you to think that 57% of the time the flop is in disfavor of your JJ, which is not the case because this 57% of flops includes for example AJ5 or AJJ which are great for you.
	Last edited by daviddem; 10-19-2010 at 08:05 AM. Reason: spaling Virginity is like a bubble: one prick and it's all gone Ignoranus (n): A person who is stupid AND an assh*le
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Odds of flopping an overpair or better with a PP

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