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KK 3b pot faving river shove 25NL FR

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  1. #5
    Playing 14/11, raising 3bb from MP2 and calling the 3bet id put him on QQ+, AKo/s, AQs. AA shoves on you preflop the vast majority of the time but we'll still leave it in there. He isn't calling your 3bet with lower pairs, there just isnt EV to set farm you. I like your flop bet sizing. He is only calling your flop bet with QQ+, AKc, AQc imo. I hate your turn bet sizing, it screams "i dont have the A!", which is why he fires the bluff on the river. I would have bet 10 min. If he has AAA or the flush he is value betting you on the river not shoving imo.

    Calling the shove you need 26% Equity (15.18/58.86).

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 55.172% 51.72% 03.45% 45 3.00 { QQ+, AQs+ }
    Hand 1: 44.828% 41.38% 03.45% 36 3.00 { KK }

    its a call imo.

    Edit: I am assuming your table image is TAGG
    Last edited by Openside; 10-13-2010 at 11:50 AM.

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