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Poker ForumShort-Handed NL Hold'em

Tough spot with AK, 200bb deep in squeezed pot

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  1. #1
    Quote Originally Posted by Pioneer View Post
    I would Bet-Fold AA for the same amount, but I would value shove JJ
    I got lost on this one. 'Splain please?
    Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by GatorJH View Post
    I got lost on this one. 'Splain please?
    It's 'combinatorics'...

    Whether you hold JJ/AA villain will still have nearly the same amount of flushes in his range that you will be paying off. (Maybe 8-12 combos?)

    But when you hold JJ villain will have 3X the amount of TP/ Suited 2PR combos available that can pay you off (AK/Q, AJ/9/6/3 suited)
    Because there are 2 more aces in the deck he could hold.
    (Up to 24 combos of AK/Q when you hold JJ vs. only up to 8 combos when you hold AA, 8 combos of suited 2pr when you hold JJ vs only 2-3 when you hold AA)

    *You will obv. pay off a set of Aces when you have JJ and get paid by JJ when you have AA but as there are only 3 combos of any set so this doesn't make a big difference to the above.

    Also he won't have all the combos of sets/AK/2pr in his range but whichever you interpret his range you will see JJ is getting paid off alot more, hope that helped.
    Last edited by Pioneer; 08-11-2010 at 11:24 AM.

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