Good Spot to pick an overbet bluff?

[Icanhastreebet]

Convinced some people as to why we should call too. Horrah

[dranger7070]

Convinced some people as to why we should call too. Horrah

Villain double barrels a pretty high frequency, and his flop cbet is only 50%, so he's probably only cbetting like TP, sets, overpairs, draws, etc, and air. He probably doesn't double barrel a ton of air, but he's definitely double barreling with FDs, sets, and maybe AJ/KJ. He's not double barreling with 77/55, 6x, etc.

River is an lolscarecard for hero, and since villain is 'decent' (i assume this means he can actually read a board, and at least thinks about hero's hand) he knows its a scarecard. FD's missed, he's not shoving AJ/KJ. I doubt he's shoving a set here a very high frequency, since I doubt he thinks we can call with TPTK.

That basically only leaves draws, and somehow 5x if you really think he double barrels with 56, 55.

Even if he shoves 66 and 22 for sets, he probably shoves his missed draws with a much higher frequency and he has A9, AT, AJ, AQ, AK, etc (diamonds obv) all in his range so... fist pump snap call?

[kfaess]

Agree with call, I don't see him ever shoving a set here when any 5 makes a straight.

He doesn't have many value combos so looks like a call to me