i attempted to find out at how wide
villain's
range has to be (starting at the
river range i assigned him, and gradually inserting hands from the
turn range in order of strength) and found that if he ever does this with AQ, a snap
fold becomes a roughly
break-even
call. turns out that (i guess) due to the few possible
combos of
Tx available because you hold one, if
villain bets the
river with AQ we have a roughly
break-even
call:
Board: Ts 5c Qd Tc 7s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.579% 31.58% 00.00% 12 0.00 { Td6d }
Hand 1: 68.421% 68.42% 00.00% 26 0.00 { 55, AQs, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T8s+, AQo, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo, T8o+ }
obviously it's debatable if he limps AQ, and i still prefer the bet/
fold line on
river, but it's interesting to see how the blockers involved in this hand can make such a difference between a snap
fold (you have 0%
equity versus T8+, 55) and a
break even
call (you have 31% with the addition to that
range of just 12
combos between AQo and AQs)