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He also insta-checked the turn, which usually means he's got nothing at all or something very strong. I checked behind as well, thinking around the same lines you're thinking. His range for calling a button raise has to be quite wide with those stats. Flatting the flop means A4, 44+, any J, pretty much any two hearts? If that's his range then I'm way behind of most of it except 55-TT and he would probably check down the river with those. Please correct me if my line of thinking is off here.
Say Hero checks behind on the turn and then is faced with a 2/3 on blank river. He's shown to be aggressive on the river before (6AF on river, though through such a small sample that doesn't mean much?). With the range I posted above I have about 38% equity. But if I remove the lower PPs which I don't think he'd bet on the river with, I'm down to 25%. Good fold at this point?
Absolute/UB Cereus No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Absolute/UB Cereus Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (Button) ($16.10)
SB ($25.15)
BB ($41.69)
UTG ($8.62)
MP ($14.42)
CO ($3.32)
Preflop: Hero is Button with Q , Q
3 folds, Hero bets $0.40, 1 fold, BB calls $0.30
Flop: ($0.85) J , 4 , J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, BB calls $0.60
Turn: ($2.05) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
River: ($2.05) 6 (2 players)
BB bets $1.20, Hero folds
Total pot: $2.05 | Rake: $0.10
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