Quote Originally Posted by daven
Quote Originally Posted by killerkebab
Since we're so deep I fear a bigger set so I simply call to re-evaluate..
sounds as though you shouldn't be playing 200bb deep. Buy in for 100bb, and consider leaving if you get deep.
As played, hmmm. 12-0 over how many hands? Your read is that he stacks off with overpairs. You have a set. 100bb this is easy shove.
Also, bet flop harder. 3-bet flop harder. Don't call the 4-bet unless you want to play for stacks.
Sorry you're probably right. He was 12/0 over about 100 hands, so at this point I was pretty sure he'd limp anything that isn't a total monster. His 3bet was 0% and since he stacked off with AA earlier (and my stats still said 0%) implies he'll even limp with that.

Since his stats also indicate he's quite passive postflop, his huge aggression made me pause and I started thinking of all the things he could have here. After doing a quick stove with a worst case scenario range (99,JJ+,AcXc - though nut flush draws wouldn't be that aggressive, would they? Maybe QcTc) it turns out that I was still a clear favourite (as much as 70%) and that I should have shoved as soon as he raised me that last time on the flop.

Thanks for the help guys, unless I'm missing something I think I have this one straight in my head.